2. The buzz in melanoma therapy today and at the upcoming American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) annual meeting is about new PD-1 and PDL-1 drugs from Bristol-Myers, Roche and Merck. What are melanoma experts and institutional healthcare investors saying about Allovectin? Crickets....Silence and dis-interest is not what you want heading into pivotal trial results.
In early March, I wrote a column calling Sangamo BioSciences' (SGMO - Get Report) HIV gene therapy SB-728 a valuation prop. In the column, I argued that this "functional cure" for HIV is more hype than reality, but it's also the only drug Sangamo has in the clinic. Without SB-278, the company would be hard-pressed to maintain its $500 million market value.Fast forward two and a half months and Sangamo's stock price is down 20% in a raging biotech bull market. Sangamo presented some new data on SB-278 Wednesday, described as "remarkable" by the company's chief medical officer. The market appears to disagree, and for good reason. The graph below is from an HIV patient described as a responder to SB-278: Pay attention to the black line, which represents the viral load, or the amount of HIV in the patient's system. At the start of the study, the patient's viral load is so low it's undetectable. That's because the patient is taking anti-retroviral therapy, or ART.
Sit down, I'm about to say something nice about $SPPI: Belinostat ph 3 data pretty good.— Adam Feuerstein (@adamfeuerstein) May 15, 2013Insane, I know, which is why I received some responses like these:
@ adamfeuerstein It seems you started to drink early tonight, LOL— Aric Best (@thegunnerab) May 15, 2013
@ adamfeuerstein what'd you do w/ the real Adam?(j/k)— Red Acre Investments (@redacre) May 15, 2013
@ adamfeuerstein Raj finally hacked Adam's twitter.— Jason (@JasonMilano8) May 16, 2013All jokes aside, the belinostat data released Wednesday night as part of the ASCO abstract dump do compare favorably to competing drugs used to treat peripheral T-cell lymphoma such as Celgene's Istodax and Spectrum's other PTCL drug Folotyn. In the single-arm pivotal study, the overall response rate to belinostat was 26-28%, which matches Istodax and is just a tiny bit lower than Folotyn. Median duration of response to belinostat was 8.3 months, which is on the low end compared to Istodax (12 months) and Folotyn (10 months.) Belinostat's strength is safety and tolerability. Patients in the study reported low rates of thrombocytopenia (13%), neutropenia (13%) and anemia (10%) -- much improved over Istodax and Folotyn which generally cause thrombocytopenia and neutropenia in 40% and 30% of patients, respectively. Anemia is reported in about 24% of patients for both drugs. If these belinostat data hold up, FDA approval seems likely. The market opportunity in PTCL is small, however, and belinostat, if approved, will cannibalize Foltyn sales to some extent. Still, let's not start raining on Spectrum's parade just yet. -- Reported by Adam Feuerstein in Boston. Follow @AdamFeuerstein
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