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Bears Want to Bury ConAgra

By David Russell, reporter at OptionMonster

NEW YORK -- ConAgra (CAG) has been dead in the water for the last month, and Thursday the bears stepped in.

OptionMonster's tracking programs detected heavy buying in the May 35 puts, with large blocks initially pricing for 15 cents. Volume continued to build, ending the session at almost 11,300 contracts -- more than 18 times previous open interest at the strike.

Puts lock in the price where shares can be sold in the food company, which gives them a strong inverse correlation. They can also generate significant leverage from even a small drop in the share price.

That price action was evident Thursday because CAG continued to tick lower into the close, and those puts quickly doubled to 30 cents. The stock closed at $35.05, a decline of 1.35%.

ConAgra shares spent most of April trapped below $36 and now appear to be forming a bearish "head and shoulders" pattern around that level. The company had benefited from a strong sentiment toward consumer staples earlier in the year, but its last earnings report missed estimates and the stock is now at levels unseen since 1997.

Total option volume was 6 times greater than average in the session, with puts outnumbering calls by a bearish 14-to-1 ratio.

Russell has no positions in CAG.

This commentary comes from an independent investor or market observer as part of TheStreet guest contributor program. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of TheStreet or its management.

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