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NEW YORK ( TheGoldAndOilGuy.com) -- Many investors and traders make the same mistakes, assuming that one needs a complex trading system to consistently profit from the stock market.
On the contrary, some of the top-performing strategies are the ones with the fewest moving parts and are simple. Because of their simplicity, they can be easily and consistently followed.
The methodologies we use for timing the market,
picking stocks and
option trades are very simple because we focus mainly on price, volume and momentum. These three indicators are the key to success.
When these are used together, you are able time your entries and exits during key turning points and clearly define risk and reward levels while maintaining a clear unbiased state of mind, which allows one to trade almost emotionless.
As my Trading System Mastery coach (
Brian McAboy) taught me, if you do not have a detailed trading plan that a five-year-old could trade, then you do not have a solid strategy and will have unnecessary losses and emotional stress.
Our recent trade in
Infoblox(BLOX) was flashing several signals (price, volume and momentum) that a bounce or rally was likely going to happen within a few weeks. This is a good example of a swing trade based purely on our main indicators.
Current stock market prices are starting to warn us that a market correction is near. You can read more about this in detail in
"Stocks Preparing for a Pullback, Buy Bas News, Sell the Good".
We all know the market works with the saying: "If the market doesn't shake you out, it will wait you out."
How does this work? Simple, really. During down trends and just before a market bottom we tend to see capitulation spikes in selling. These scare the last of the long positions out of the market and suck in the greedy shorts after the move has already been made.
During an uptrend, which is what we are in now, the market makes spike highs designed to scare out the shorts and get greedy long traders to buy more --once again, after the move has already been made and likely near the market top.
If you are the type of trader who always tries to pick tops and bottoms against the current trend, then you may like to know this little tip: The largest percentage moves typically happen during the last 75% of the trend. What does this mean? It means when you take your position against the trend trying to pick the dead top or bottom you are most likely going to get be caught on the wrong side of the market in a big way.
Most traders I know based on recent emails have been short the market for one to three weeks, and many keep emailing me they are adding more shorts each day because they feel the market is going to top.
So me being a contrarian by nature in terms of what the masses are doing, if everyone is still holding on to their shorts we likely have not seen the top just yet. Another 1-2% jump from here should be enough to shake them out, however.
This article was written by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.