As a follower and sometime shareholder of asset-rich Argentine farming name Cresud (CRESY), it certainly decreased my interest in deploying any capital into that region, at least without a greater margin of safety.
In Cresud's case, the prospect of the authorities seizing farmland seemed remote at best. However, if a government is power-hungry and economically ignorant enough to seize oil and gas interests, you can't rule out anything.
In Cresud's case, shares fell from $13 in late March of last year to just under $7 by June. That seemed like an appropriate margin of safety at the time, and I established a new position. After a 20% pop by last November, the position was closed. While not normally a shorter-term investor, the risks remained and the margin of safety had narrowed.
CRESY data by YCharts
Select the service that is right for you!COMPARE ALL SERVICES
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
- Upgrade/downgrade alerts
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
- Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV