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Sequestration Could Ding Q1 Earnings

Last 12-Month Return (%): Stocks with a Red number declined by that percentage over the last twelve months. Stocks with a Black number increased by that percentage.

Forecast 1-Year Return: Stocks with a Red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next twelve months. Stocks with a Black number in the Table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next twelve months.

Value Level: is the price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-Weekly, M-Monthly, Q-Quarterly, S-Semiannual and A- Annual.

Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that should be a magnet during the time frame noted.

Risky Level: is the price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to sell on strength.

Alcoa ($8.24) reports after the close today and is expected to earn 11 cents a share. The stock has a hold rating, is 18.2% undervalued and is down 14.4% over the last 12 months. The stock is below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $8.70 with a weekly value level at $8.19 and monthly risky level at $8.75. The weekly chart profile is negative with the stock below its five-week modified moving average (MMA) at $8.57.

Constellation Brands (STZ) ($47.84) reports before the open on Wednesday and is expected to earn 45 cents a share. The stock traded to a multi-year high at $49.21 on April 2 and recently was downgraded to hold from buy. The stock is 29.3% overvalued after a gain of 121.4% over the last 12 months. The stock is well above its 200-day SMA at $34.96 with a quarterly value level at $40.42, a monthly pivot at $48.19 and weekly risky level at $59.45. The weekly chart profile is positive but overbought with the stock above its five-week MMA at $44.31.

Family Dollar (FDO) ($59.40) reports before the open on Wednesday and is expected to earn $1.22. The stock has a buy rating, is 9.0% undervalued and is down 8.4% over the last 12 months after setting a 52-week high at $74.73 on June 14, 2012. The stock is below its 200-day SMA at $63.58 with an annual value level at $49.09, a monthly pivot at $59.00 and quarterly risky level at 68.38. The weekly chart profile is positive with the stock above its five-week MMA at $59.24.

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