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Kostohryz: Is the S&P 500's New High Fundamentally Warranted?

However, in a secular time frame, the prospects for equity returns are unappealing. But these prospective returns must be evaluated against the prospective returns on cash, quasi-cash and fixed-income securities.

Thus, putting this all together, it appears that fundamentals overall seem to be supportive of the recent all-time highs on a cyclical basis and that, in the absence of major external shocks, they could continue to be supportive of equities for the next one to two years.

At the time of publication, the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned, although positions may change at any time.

This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
James Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.

Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.

Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book on the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.

Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
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Chart of I:DJI
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