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Q2 Investment Themes and Trading Strategies

Stocks in this article: TLT GLD XLE DIA QQQ SPY

Incorporating New Monthly and Quarterly Levels into Trading Strategies:

A proxy for trading U.S. Treasuries is IShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury (TLT) ($117.75). This month's value level is $113.10 with a weekly risky level at $118.44 and annual risky level at $120.42.

Consider trading gold using SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) ($154.47). This week's value level is $148.31 with an annual pivot at $153.45 and monthly, quarterly and annual risky levels at $166.65, $174.85 and $179.72.

A proxy for crude oil is the basket of oils-energy stocks in Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) ($79.31). My quarterly value level lags at $63.49 with weekly and monthly pivots at $79.43 and $79.92 and semiannual risky level at $80.38 versus the year-to-date high at $80.14.

You can trade the Dow Industrial Average using SPDR Diamonds Trust (DIA) ($145.32). My quarterly value level is $137.01 with monthly, semiannual and weekly pivots at $142.65, $143.01 and $145.56. Investors who agree with my bearish call can begin a short position versus the weekly pivot at $145.56.

You can trade the NASDAQ 100 using PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ) ($68.97). My annual value level lags at $60.27 with weekly and quarterly pivots at $68.80 and $68.95 and monthly risky level at $69.54 versus the Sept 19 high at $70.58.

You can trade the S&P 500 using SPDR S&P 500 Trust (SPY) ($156.67). My quarterly value level is $144.56 with monthly, semiannual and weekly pivots at $156.89, $156.59 and $157.23 versus the first quarter high at $156.85. Investors who agree with my bearish call can begin a short position versus these levels.



At the time of publication the author had no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

This article was written by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

Richard Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a master of science from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. In 1981 he formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild and helped establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. Richard began writing market research in 1984 and held positions as market strategist at firms such as Smith Barney, William R Hough, Joseph Stevens, and Rightside Advisors. He joined www.ValuEngine.com in 2008 producing newsletters covering the U.S. capital markets, and a universe of more than 7,000 stocks. Richard employs a "buy and trade" investment strategy and can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com.
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