NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- As major equity averages power to new multi-year highs or new all-time highs, individual stocks are becoming overvalued fundamentally, and their weekly chart profiles become overbought technically. Recently, this process has resulted in numerous stock-specific downgrades to sell, particularly in the transportation and construction sectors.
The stock market has been operating under a valuation watch or warning consistently in 2013. A watch is when 60% to 65% of all stocks are overvalued and a warning is when 65% or more of all stocks are overvalued. Today, this measure is a warning at 65.2%. As an added concern, 15 of 16 sectors have been overvalued, with 14 overvalued by double-digit percentages, led by consumer staples overvalued by 27.1%, transportation by 26.1% and construction by 25.1%.
My reading of technical momentum is a 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic where readings above 80.00 on a scale of 00.00 to 100.00 are overbought. All major averages have mojo readings above 90.00.
So far in March, www.ValuEngine.com has downgraded numerous stocks to sell. In addition, when a stock rated hold or buy reaches its one-year price target, it becomes a source of funds at least on a partial sale in a buy-and-trade strategy.When Apple (AAPL) ($452.08) traded above $700 per share on Sept. 21, 2012, the stock reached the ValuEngine one-year price target at that time, where it became a partial source of funds. On Wall Street, analysts covering Apple raised their price target. On March 6, I wrote Apple Buy, Google Hold, Amazon Sell, and followed with Apple Wins the Search for Value on March 14. Apple tested my annual value level at $421.05 on March 4 and March 5, while Wall Street was lowering its price targets. Today, Apple remains buy-rated, is 19.5% undervalued and has a one-year price target at $480.41. My semiannual pivot is $470.21, with my annual risky level at $510.64.
Select the service that is right for you!COMPARE ALL SERVICES
Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
- Upgrade/downgrade alerts
Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
All of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.
- Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Our options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV