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Discount Retailers Continue to Lag Despite Recovery

Reading the Table

OV / UN Valued: The stocks with a red number are undervalued by this percentage. Those with a black number are overvalued by that percentage according to ValuEngine.

VE Rating A "1-Engine" rating is a Strong Sell, a "2-Engine" rating is a Sell, a "3-Engine" rating is a Hold, a "4-Engine" rating is a Buy and a "5-Engine" rating is a Strong Buy.

Last 12-Month Return (%): Stocks with a Red number declined by that percentage over the last twelve months. Stocks with a Black number increased by that percentage.

Forecast 1-Year Return: Stocks with a Red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next twelve months. Stocks with a Black number in the Table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next twelve months.

Value Level: The price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-Weekly, M-Monthly, Q-Quarterly, S-Semiannual and A- Annual.

Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that should be a magnet during the time frame noted.

Risky Level: The price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to sell on strength.

Big Lots (BIG) ($35.76 vs. $27.65 on Dec. 13) set a multi-year high at $47.22 on March 27, 2012. BIG has gone from being oversold to being overbought on its weekly chart profile since Dec. 13 with its five-week modified moving average (MMA) at $33.39. My semiannual value level is $28.14 with weekly and quarterly risky levels at $38.48 and $40.54.

Costco Wholesale (COST) ($103.75 vs. $97.72 on Dec. 13) set an all-time high at $105.97 on Dec. 5, 2012. The weekly is positive with the five-week MMA at $102.07. My annual value level is $93.09 with a semiannual pivot at $100.61, and weekly, monthly and quarterly risky levels at $104.46, $105.05 and $106.33.

Dollar General (DG) ($47.76 vs. $44.39 on Dec. 13) set an all-time high at $56.04 on July 10, 2012, and recent strength tested the 200-day SMA at $48.77. The weekly chart profile is positive with the five-week MMA at $46.58. My monthly value level is $42.33 with an annual pivot at $45.67 and semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $50.94 and $54.76.

Dollar Tree (DLTR) ($44.64 vs. $38.65 on Dec. 13) set an all-time high at $56.81 on June 20, 2012 and recent strength tested the 200-day SMA at $45.41. The weekly chart is positive with the five-week MMA at $42.88. My monthly value level is $34.94 with weekly and semiannual risky levels at $46.31, $47.35 and $50.27.

Stock quotes in this article: IYC, BIG, COST, DG, DLTR, FDO, ROST, TGT, TJX, WMT 

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