March 5, 2013
-- In its 15th
Turbine-Powered Civil Helicopter Purchase Outlook report, Honeywell (NYSE: HON) expects that global deliveries of new civilian-use helicopters will increase to between 4,900 to 5,600 over the five-year period 2013–2017. The forecast shows improved purchase plans for new helicopters in every region of the world.
North American buying plans increased for the first time in half a decade, and
posted the highest regional level of five-year fleet replacement and expansion at 34 percent.
Based on survey results,
delivery rates of new helicopters over the next three years are expected to reach 1,000 new units each year. Purchase plans for new helicopters for this three-year time frame are 35 percent higher than last year's survey. The latter part of the five-year outlook is also expected to fill in and achieve similar delivery rates if economic recovery trends are sustained.
"The buyer confidence reflected in this year's survey is a much needed shot in the arm for the industry," said
, vice president, Honeywell Aftermarket Helicopter Sales. "Supporting the growth numbers is the fact that helicopter usage for corporate, oil and gas, utility, and training missions is improving, which shows that helicopters are value-add aircraft in today's business environment."
Drivers for new purchase expectations were aircraft age and condition, contractual requirements, change in operational requirements, expiring warranties, and regulations requiring twin engines.
The five-year share of demand from
the United States
is 27 percent, and combined the Western Hemisphere represents 47 percent of total global demand.
's share of five-year demand closely matches that of
with 28 percent. Demand in
/Oceania accounts for 19 percent over the next five years, and the
share should tally a little over 6 percent.
Global five-year fleet replacement and expansion plans decreased last year with a dip of 4 points in expectations versus 2011 levels. This year's stronger survey response indicates that the industry may be returning to a more expansionary environment. Overall five-year buying plans in the 2013 survey recovered 4 points and specific purchase plans for 2013–2015 are very strong.