A Deep Post-Decline Analysis, Part 2

To me this over-rotation tells me be careful and I would be a seller of almost all of these stocks, starting with General Mills (GIS), Hormel (HRL), Clorox (CLX), Campbell's (CPB), Colgate (CLP) and Conagra (CAG). Sure, Campbell's could be taken over. The others are just slow growers that, to varying degrees, seem ready to correct. I think if Chavez dies, you would get hurt on a return to higher profitability for Colgate's substantial Venezuelan business, otherwise I think group is certainly not the place to be. (Keep in mind that there are shorts running all over Hain Celestial (HAIN), on lies about its claims to be organic on many products and as much as they are rebuttable, no one seems to care right now and the stock seems headed lower still.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG) and PepsiCo (PEP) are substantially overbought, too, but I would not be afraid to buy some on any weakness.

There's not all that much that is overextended, but two techs seem ripe for a bit of a correction in Google (GOOG) and Tech Data (TECD). The $1,000 price targets that Google got hit with last week seemed preordained to call a short-term Apple-like top. Tech Data has a huge amount of European business, so I think the rally could stall here.

It's worth noting that both Federal Express (FDX) and Action Alerts PLUS name United Parcel (UPS) seem over-extended, too, but I know that I am looking to buy more UPS not sell it, even as we did recently take profits in FedEx.

Also see: A Deep Post-Decline Analysis, Part 1 >>

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