A Deep Post-Decline Analysis, Part 2
Retail's become a vicious conundrum of late and the list of retailers with acceptable charts is a bizarre one indeed. CVS (CVS), which hasn't pulled back a whit since preannouncing but has based well since that event, Tiffany (TIF), a tremendous conundrum given its previous hideous quarter, Kroger (KR), no doubt benefitting from the perception that the Whole Foods (WFM) dominance may be overblown (something that Safeway (SWY) confirmed in its terrific quarter earlier last week), and TJX (TJX). The latter, a new Action Alerts PLUS stock, reports this week and if the charts is right we might have a winner.
There are some stocks that defy characterization by sector, but are too notable not point out. First, two hoteliers, Wyndham Worldwide (WYN) and Starwood (HOT) have pulled back to welcome levels. WYN had still one more terrific quarter and remains a huge dividend booster and a company with tons of buyback firepower, maybe the best in the book. I was glad to see Starwood bottom as it has one of the finest growth profiles that I know, yet has been hit with a couple of wrong-headed downgrades.
Time Warner (TWX) remains totally buyable, as does Comcast (CMCSA), both of which reported tremendous quarters. A couple of oils stand out despite the decline in price of crude. EOG (EOG), with a retiring CEO, so it is heavily bet on to be acquired (for the record I don't think so and I like the earnings profile) and Diamond Offshore (DO). Offshore drilling's coming back post-Macondo, but with the BP (BP) trial beginning today I don't know if I want to get ahead of that monster.
Two others that rarely come in but can be considered retreating about as much as they have in the past before they were buyable are Gilead (GILD) and Biomarin (BMRN) (some great recent news there) are worth noting, as is my favorite biotech Monsanto (MON), except this one is a biotech company for seeds. This is the best-in-show ag stock in a very bad group, including the fertilizers and a very lagging Deere (DE).Next up are the stocks that seem ripe for a correction, the overextended charts. There are a huge number of these that have all run too far for my tastes, perhaps because of the halo of Warren Buffett's purchase of Heinz (HNZ). Anything Buffett does is worshipped to the point where market participants will buy others in the sector hoping that lightning will strike twice.
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