Kass: Really!?! With Dougie

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Are the S&P returns correlated with any other data?

1. R-squared between S&P monthly returns and:

  • institutional all equity fund flows = 0.0119
  • above + one-month lag = 0.0222
  • above + two-month lag = 0.0222
  • above + three-month lag = 0.0404
  • above + four-month lag = 0.0408
  • above + five-month lag = 0.0477
  • above + six-month lag = 0.0674

2. R-squared between month-over-month nonfarm payroll percentage change (seasonally adjusted) and institutional all equity fund flows = 0.000

3. R-squared between month-over-month initial jobless claims percentage change (seasonally adjusted) and institutional all equity fund flows = 0.001

Bottom line: Our research shows that the R-squared data further emphasize the low correlation between S&P returns against a variety of factors.

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At the time of publication, Kass and/or his funds were short SPY, although holdings can change at any time.

Doug Kass is the president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.



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