This Day On The Street
Continue to site
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here

ETFs to Protect You From an Inflation Spike

NEW YORK ( ETF Expert) -- Few seem to care about the potential for monstrous declines when stock assets are within a few percentage points of all-time highs. In fact, it becomes increasingly difficult for an objective observer to see the investment environment as it is rather than through magenta-colored glasses.

At times like these, bears go into hibernation. Meanwhile, bulls present shopping lists of upbeat reasons to participate. The masses blindly follow the herd.

Consider the positives as they are presented in the financial media. Central banks around the world are buying their respective sovereign country debt without the threat of giant increases in the cost of living.

As long as the Federal Reserve or the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank are able to amass large quantities of government bonds with their electronically printed currencies, interest rates can remain near historic lows. Consumers can then borrow cheaply, boosting an economy via the money spent on homes, computers, automobiles and stocks.

Is this really a case of "no harm, no foul?" Probably not. Despite recent protestations by developed world countries in the G-7, currencies from the dollar to the yen to the British pound have been weakened by the ongoing monetary policies of the U.S., Japan and England. The idea that policymakers can stimulate an economy for long periods of time, simply by creating money and buying your own country's debt, hasn't fared particularly well in history.

Back in the 1970s, Chilean leaders nationalized a variety of industries and substantially increased social spending. How was the ambitious agenda paid for? With ultra-accomodative monetary policy. Economic growth recovered at first, but inflation eventually overwhelmed the nation. Chile defaulted on its debts shortly thereafter.

In neighboring Peru in the 1980s, the impoverished nation had initially benefited from enormous amounts of foreign investment. Leaders used the funding on scores of public needs and wants. Foreign investment began to disappear in subsequent years, leaving Peruvians without a private or public sector growth machine for paying back its debts.

On the one hand, Chile and Peru are small economies, and printing money was sure to decimate the value of their currencies. On the other hand, the ability for the U.S., England, Japan and the European Central Bank to increase money supply without adverse consequence flies in the face of the laws of supply and demand. The more electronic printing, the less money can be worth; the less a dollar or yen or pound or euro is ultimately worth, the more stuff will cost. At least that's the inflationary argument.

The dollar may never meet its ultimate demise, and cost of living increases stateside may never emulate Peru in the 1980s.

That said, rising interest rates are a distinct possibility. Foreign investors may lose confidence in repayment and demand a greater return for the risk of downgraded treasuries. Or consumer prices may rise at a much faster and much quicker pace than anticipated, leaving the Federal Reserve at a crossroads for hiking rates.
1 of 2

Check Out Our Best Services for Investors

Action Alerts PLUS

Portfolio Manager Jim Cramer and Director of Research Jack Mohr reveal their investment tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
Quant Ratings

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
Stocks Under $10

David Peltier uncovers low dollar stocks with serious upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
14-Days Free
Only $9.95
14-Days Free
Dividend Stock Advisor

David Peltier identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Trifecta Stocks

Every recommendation goes through 3 layers of intense scrutiny—quantitative, fundamental and technical analysis—to maximize profit potential and minimize risk.

Product Features:
  • Model Portfolio
  • Intra Day Trade alerts
  • Access to Quant Ratings
Real Money

More than 30 investing pros with skin in the game give you actionable insight and investment ideas.

Product Features:
  • Access to Jim Cramer's daily blog
  • Intraday commentary and news
  • Real-time trading forums
Only $49.95
14-Days Free
14-Days Free
AAPL $118.03 0.00%
FB $105.41 0.00%
GOOG $748.15 0.00%
TSLA $229.64 0.00%
YHOO $33.16 0.00%


Chart of I:DJI
DOW 17,813.39 +1.20 0.01%
S&P 500 2,088.87 -0.27 -0.01%
NASDAQ 5,116.1430 +13.3350 0.26%

Free Reports

Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs