Intel Stock Starts Countdown to Launch

This is a widely followed stock on Motley Fool where 9,902 individual investors voted 94% for the stock to beat the market. Short interest has begun to get covered and decreased from about 220 million shares in November to 197 million shares recently.

Peer comparisons: While INTC was down 20% for the year, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) was up 31%, Analog Devices (ADI) was up 17% and Texas Instrument (TXN) was up 1%.

Taiwan Semiconductor is expected to have increased revenue this year of 15% and next year by 15.80%. Earnings are predicted to compound annually by 15% for the next five years. The P/E is 16.89 with a 2.16% dividend yield. The financial strength is B++ and TheStreet rates it an A+ stock.

Analog Devices is projected to increase revenue only 0.4% this year and 9.70% next year while earnings are estimated to increase annually by 3.27% over the next five years. The P/E is 21.72 with a dividend yield of 2.59%. The financial strength is A+ and The Street rates it an A- stock.

Texas Instruments is predicted to have a loss of revenue of 6.40% this year but increase again by 6.60% next year. Earnings forecasts are good at an increase of 4.9% this year, 23.3% next year and to increase annually by 9% for the next five years. The P/E of 20.56 is coupled with a 2.49% dividend yield. The solid A++ financial strength gets the stock a B+ rating by TheStreet.

Conclusion: If the economy recovers and the company's R&D investments pay off, Intel investors could reap a 19%-to-21% total annual return. This may be the right entry point but I'd follow the moving averages and turtle channels to see if the momentum holds up:

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This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

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