For 2013 the company expects moderate growth in industrial markets, global parts and service, and across most of the company’s businesses in Asia and Latin America. Refrigerated transport markets and commercial HVAC replacement activity are expected to demonstrate slow year-over-year growth, especially in Europe where performance is hampered by low economic growth in key markets. The North American non-residential construction market is continuing its weak and uneven demand pattern with moderate growth in commercial markets, partially offsetting ongoing weakness in key institutional markets. Activity in North American consumer related markets, especially residential HVAC, is expected to continue its ongoing recovery for 2013 with moderate increases in demand levels.
For comparison purposes, the 2013 forecast is based on the current Ingersoll Rand business structure, with four current operating sectors in place for the full 12 months of 2013. Revenues for the full-year 2013 are expected to be in the range of $14.2 billion to $14.6 billion. Full-year adjusted EPS from continuing operations are expected to be in the range of $3.45 to $3.65. Costs related to the impending spin-off of the residential and commercial security businesses and restructuring expenses are expected to be in the range of $0.40 to $0.60 per share. Including these costs, EPS for 2013 continuing operations are expected to be in the range of $2.85 to $3.25. The forecast includes a tax rate of 23 percent for continuing operations and an average diluted share count for the full year of approximately 300 million shares. Available cash flow for full-year 2013 is expected to approximate $1.1 billion, excluding restructuring expenses and costs related to the spin-off of the security business.
First-quarter 2013 revenues are expected to be in the range of $3.1 billion to $3.2 billion. Adjusted EPS from continuing operations for the first quarter of 2013 are expected to be in the range of $0.35 to $0.40, with reported EPS of $0.15 to $0.20, including security business spin-off and restructuring costs equal to approximately $0.10 per share and potential non-U.S. discrete tax charges equal to approximately $0.10 per share. The first-quarter forecast reflects an ongoing tax rate of 25 percent for continuing operations and an average diluted share count of approximately 302 million shares.
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