Celgene Corporation Announces Financial Outlook And Preliminary 2012 Results
Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ: CELG) provided its financial outlook for 2013 at the JPMorgan 31 st Annual Healthcare Conference. In 2013, total net product sales are expected to be approximately $6.0 billion, an 11.4% year-over-year increase. REVLIMID net sales are expected to be in the range of $4.1 billion to $4.2 billion, including approximately $90 million of negative year-over-year foreign exchange impact. Assuming constant foreign exchange, REVLIMID growth would be 11 to 14 percent. Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) is expected in the range of $5.50 to $5.60, a 12 to 14 percent year-over-year increase. Based on U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), diluted EPS is expected in the range of $4.67 to $4.79.
“The accomplishments of 2012 and our outlook for 2013 have positioned us with significant catalysts as we enter a new growth phase for Celgene in all three therapeutic areas of our business – hematology, oncology and inflammation and immunology,” said Bob Hugin, Celgene’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “The increased visibility we now have to many of those catalysts allows us to reaffirm our 2015 targets and give new targets out to 2017.”
2012 Financial Results Year-Over-Year (Unaudited)
- Total net product sales are expected to be $5.4 billion, up 15% year-over-year; Total revenues are approximately $5.5 billion, up 14% year-over-year
- REVLIMID quarterly net product sales to surpass $1.0 billion for the fourth quarter of 2012
- Adjusted operating margin is expected to be ~48% for the full year, up 300 bps year-over-year; GAAP operating margin is expected to be ~33%, up 300 bps year-over-year
- Adjusted diluted EPS expected to be approximately $4.90; On a GAAP basis, diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $3.37 to $3.39
- Certain activities involved in determining the GAAP results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012 are in process and could result in the final reported GAAP results being different from the expected results noted in this press release. Please see the attached Reconciliation of Estimated/Projected GAAP to Adjusted (Non-GAAP) Measures for further information.
Celgene Forecasts Solid Revenue and Earnings Growth in 2013
- Total net product sales expected to be approximately $6.0 billion, an increase of 11.4% year-over-year, including an approximately $100 million negative year-over-year currency impact
- REVLIMID net sales anticipated to be in the range of $4.1 billion to $4.2 billion, an increase of 9 to 12 percent year-over-year, 11 to 14 percent on a constant currency basis
- Adjusted diluted EPS expected to be in the range of $5.50 to $5.60, an increase of approximately 12 to 14 percent year-over-year; On a GAAP basis, diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $4.67 to $4.79
- Adjusted operating margins expected to be approximately 49% after investments across the entire organization, including Inflammation and Immunology (I&I); GAAP operating margins are expected to be approximately 40%
- Reaffirming 2015 targets of $8.0-9.0 billion in net product sales and adjusted diluted EPS of $8.00 to $9.00
- 2017 target of $12.0 billion in net product sales and adjusted diluted EPS of $13.00 to $14.00
- Targeting ABRAXANE ® net sales of $1.0-1.25 billion in 2015 and $1.5-2.0 billion in 2017
- Net product sales growth between 2013 and 2017 is expected to be 19% (CAGR%), 13% for the existing business, 15% including ABRAXANE pancreatic cancer and 19% including apremilast
- Submit REVLIMID newly diagnosed and maintenance multiple myeloma with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the European Medicines Agency (EMA)
- Expect decision on REVLIMID MDS del 5q submission from the EMA
- Expect data from REVLIMID MM-020 trial in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma
- Anticipate FDA decision of REVLIMID in relapsed/refractory mantle cell lymphoma
- Expect regulatory decision on REVLIMID in China and other emerging markets for relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma
- Anticipate regulatory decision on POMALYST ® (pomalidomide) in relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma by FDA and EMA
- Expect data from phase III trial of POMALYST in myelofibrosis and sNDA submission
- Initiate phase II program for CC-292 and data from phase Ib trial
- Complete enrollment in REVLIMID CLL-008 trial in first-line elderly chronic lymphocytic leukemia
- Global regulatory submissions of ABRAXANE in pancreatic cancer
- Expect final overall survival data of ABRAXANE in melanoma
- Initiate multiple trials of CC-486 in solid tumors
- Advance CC-223 into multiple phase II trials
- Filing with FDA and EMA of apremilast in psoriatic arthritis and psoriasis
- Data from phase III PALACE-4 trial of apremilast in biologic-naïve psoriatic arthritis
- Complete enrollment in phase III trial of apremilast in ankylosing spondylitis
- Phase II data of CC-11050 in multiple indications
| Celgene Corporation and Subsidiaries Reconciliation of Estimated/Projected GAAP to Adjusted (Non-GAAP) Measures (In thousands, except percentages and per share data) (Unaudited) | |||||||||||||
| Twelve Months EndedDecember 31, 2012Range | |||||||||||||
| Low | High | ||||||||||||
| Estimated diluted earnings per common share - GAAP | (1) | $ | 3.37 | $ | 3.39 | ||||||||
| Per share impact of excluded items before tax: | |||||||||||||
| Cost of goods sold (excluding amortization of acquired intangible assets): | |||||||||||||
| Share-based compensation expense | (2) | 0.03 | 0.03 | ||||||||||
| Research and Development: | |||||||||||||
| Share-based compensation expense | (2) | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||||||||||
| Upfront collaboration payments | (1)(3) | 0.44 | 0.42 | ||||||||||
| IPR&D impairment | (1)(4) | 0.12 | 0.12 | ||||||||||
| Selling, general and administrative: | |||||||||||||
| Share-based compensation expense | (2) | 0.27 | 0.26 | ||||||||||
| Amortization of acquired intangible assets | (5) | 0.44 | 0.44 | ||||||||||
| Acquisition related (gains) charges and restructuring, net: | |||||||||||||
| Acquisition and restructuring costs | (6) | 0.01 | 0.01 | ||||||||||
| Change in fair value of contingent consideration | (6) | 0.39 | 0.39 | ||||||||||
| Net income tax adjustments | (7) | (0.40 | ) | (0.39 | ) | ||||||||
| Estimated diluted earnings per common share - Adjusted | Approximately $4.90 | ||||||||||||
| Twelve Months EndingDecember 31, 2013Range | |||||||||||||
| Low | High | ||||||||||||
| Projected diluted earnings per common share - GAAP | $ | 4.67 | $ | 4.79 | |||||||||
| Per share impact of excluded items before tax: | |||||||||||||
| Share-based compensation expense | (2) | 0.61 | 0.59 | ||||||||||
| Amortization of acquired intangible assets | (5) | 0.62 | 0.61 | ||||||||||
| Change in fair value of contingent consideration | (6) | 0.03 | 0.03 | ||||||||||
| Net income tax adjustments | (7) | (0.43 | ) | (0.42 | ) | ||||||||
| Projected diluted earnings per common share - Adjusted | $ | 5.50 | $ | 5.60 | |||||||||
| Celgene Corporation and Subsidiaries Reconciliation of Estimated/Projected GAAP to Adjusted (Non-GAAP) Measures (Continued) (In thousands, except percentages and per share data) (Unaudited) | |||||||||||||
| Twelve Months Ended December 31, | |||||||||||||
| 2012 | 2013 | ||||||||||||
| Operating margin percentage of revenue - GAAP | (1) | 32.8 | % | 40.3 | % | ||||||||
| Plus adjustments: | |||||||||||||
| Share-based compensation expense | (2) | 4.2 | % | 4.2 | % | ||||||||
| Upfront collaboration payments | (1)(3) | 3.5 | % | -- | |||||||||
| IPR&D impairment | (1)(4) | 1.0 | % | -- | |||||||||
| Amortization of acquired intangible assets | (5) | 3.5 | % | 4.3 | % | ||||||||
| Change in fair value of contingent consideration | (6) | 3.1 | % | 0.2 | % | ||||||||
| Operating margin percentage of revenue - Adjusted | 48.1 | % | 49.0 | % | |||||||||
| Cost of goods sold percentage of net product sales - GAAP | 5.6 | % | |||||||||||
| Less share-based compensation expense | (2) | 0.2 | % | ||||||||||
| Cost of goods sold percentage of net product sales - Adjusted | 5.4 | % | |||||||||||
| Research and development percentage of revenue - GAAP | (1) | 30.2 | % | ||||||||||
| Less adjustments: | |||||||||||||
| Share-based compensation expense | (2) | 1.9 | % | ||||||||||
| Upfront collaboration payments | (1)(3) | 3.5 | % | ||||||||||
| IPR&D impairment | (1)(4) | 1.0 | % | ||||||||||
| Research and development percentage of revenue - Adjusted | 23.8 | % | |||||||||||
| Selling, general, and administrative percentage of revenue - GAAP | 25.0 | % | |||||||||||
| Less share-based compensation expense | (2) | 2.1 | % | ||||||||||
| Selling, general, and administrative percentage of revenue - Adjusted | 22.9 | % | |||||||||||
| Notes: | |
| (1) | Certain activities involved in determining the GAAP results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012 are in process and could result in the final reported GAAP results being different from the expected results noted in this press release. Activities still in process for the fourth quarter of 2012 include the impairment testing for intangible assets and the initial valuation of assets acquired during the period. |
| (2) | Exclude share-based compensation expense. |
| (3) | Exclude upfront payments for research and development collaboration arrangements and purchases of intellectual property for unapproved products. |
| (4) | Exclude In-process Research and Development, or IPR&D, impairments. IPR&D assets are tested for impairment at least annually. |
| The testing of IPR&D assets for impairment for the fourth quarter of 2012 is currently in progress. | |
| (5) | Exclude amortization of acquired intangible assets from business combinations. |
| (6) | Exclude acquisition related charges and restructuring costs related to business combinations. |
| (7) | Net income tax adjustments reflects the estimated tax effect of the above adjustments. |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||||||||||
| Operating income | 1,805,556 | 1,442,753 | 989,635 | 841,526 | (1,464,218 | ) | 425,121 | ||||||||||||
| Certain charges (1) | 2,043,069 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Non-GAAP operating income | 1,805,556 | 1,442,753 | 989,635 | 841,526 | 578,851 | 425,121 | |||||||||||||
| Effective tax rate | 14 | % | 7 | % | 13 | % | 20 | % | 24 | % | 56 | % | |||||||
| Non-GAAP operating income after tax | 1,552,778 | 1,339,017 | 860,221 | 669,930 | 439,272 | 186,203 | |||||||||||||
| Total equity | 5,730,144 | 5,512,727 | 5,995,472 | 4,394,606 | 3,491,328 | 2,843,944 | |||||||||||||
| Certain charges (1) | 1,979,510 | 1,979,510 | 1,979,510 | 1,979,510 | 1,979,510 | ||||||||||||||
| Total debt | 3,081,497 | 1,802,269 | 1,247,584 | - | - | 196,555 | |||||||||||||
| Total capital | 10,791,151 | 9,294,506 | 9,222,566 | 6,374,116 | 5,470,838 | 3,040,499 | |||||||||||||
| Total capital beginning of period | 9,294,506 | 9,222,566 | 6,374,116 | 5,470,838 | 3,040,499 | 2,376,066 | |||||||||||||
| Total capital end of period | 10,791,151 | 9,294,506 | 9,222,566 | 6,374,116 | 5,470,838 | 3,040,499 | |||||||||||||
| Average total capital | 10,042,829 | 9,258,536 | 7,798,341 | 5,922,477 | 4,255,669 | 2,708,283 | |||||||||||||
| ROIC | 15.5 | % | 14.5 | % | 11.0 | % | 11.3 | % | 10.3 | % | 6.9 | % | |||||||
| (1) Excludes $1.7 billion of IPR&D expense in 2008 associated with the acquisition of Pharmion, as well as $300 million of expense related to the acquisition of intellectual property rights for Vidaza in 2008 prior to it's launch. Amounts adjusted for tax effects in 2008 are excluded from equity in all years including and subsequent to 2008. |
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