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The Retail Bubble Stocks are Deflating

Stock quotes in this article: IYC, AMZN, COST, WMT, LOW 

Lowes (LOW) ($35.20 vs. $35.77 on Nov. 29 and $32.35 on Oct. 17): Set an all-time high at $36.47 on Dec. 3. LOW is 21.3% overvalued, still has a buy rating and a slightly elevated trailing 12 months P/E at 20.1. The daily chart is neutral with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $33.78 and $30.01. The weekly chart is overbought with the five-week MMA at $34.13. My quarterly value level is $31.01 with an annual pivot at $34.45 and weekly risky level and $36.97.

Monster Beverage (MNST) ($52.02 vs. $51.36 on Nov. 29 and $58.42 on Oct. 17): Set an all-time high at $83.96 on April 30. MNST is 10.2% undervalued, still has a strong buy rating and an elevated trailing 12 months P/E at 27.3. The daily chart is negative with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $49.76 and $60.91. The weekly chart stays positive with a close this week above the five-week MMA at $51.36. My semiannual value level is $37.68 with a weekly pivot at $52.60 and monthly risky level at $57.24.

Constellation Brands (STZ) ($34.79 vs. $35.36 on Nov. 29 and $35.78 on Oct. 17): Set an all-time high at $36.98 on Oct. 17. STZ is 23.3% overvalued, still has a buy rating and a reasonable trailing 12 months P/E at 14.8. The daily chart is negative with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $35.36 and $28.34. The weekly chart shifts to negative with a close this week below the five-week MMA at $35.06. My annual value level is $31.07 with a weekly pivot at $35.13 and monthly risky level at $36.09.

TJX (TJX) ($41.23 vs. $44.04 on Nov. 29 and $43.10 on Oct. 17): Set an all-time high at $46.67 on Aug 29. TJX is 2.5% undervalued, still has a buy rating and a reasonable trailing 12 months P/E at 17.2. The daily chart is negative with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $42.62 and $42.79. The weekly chart stays negative with a close this week below the five-week MMA at $42.56. My semiannual value level is $35.85 with a weekly risky level at $44.36.

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DOW 15,354.40 121.18 0.80%
NASDAQ 3,498.97 33.73 0.97%
S&P 500 1,667.47 17.00 1.03%
US 10 Yr 1.949% +0.084

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