The Retail Bubble Stocks are Deflating
Dollar General (DG) ($42.95 vs. $49.58 on Nov. 29 and $50.29 on Oct. 17): Set an all-time high at $56.04 on July 7. DG is 16.5% undervalued, still has a buy rating and a reasonable trailing 12 months P/E at 15.4. The daily chart is negative with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $47.10 and $49.04. The weekly chart stays negative on a close this week below the five-week MMA at $46.11. My semiannual value level is $39.16 with a weekly pivot at $45.87 and semiannual risky level at $53.23.
Dollar Tree (DLTR) ($39.72 vs. $41.42 on Nov. 29 and $40.52 on Oct. 17): Set an all-time high at $56.81 on June 20. DLTR is 20.6% undervalued, still has a buy rating and a reasonable trailing 12 months P/E at 16.7. The daily chart is neutral with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $39.88 and $47.38. The weekly chart stays negative on a close this week below the five-week MMA at $40.41. My weekly pivot is $39.80 with semiannual risky level at $43.02.
Family Dollar (FDO) ($62.60 vs. $69.01 on Nov. 29 and $68.52 on Oct. 17): Set an all-time high at $74.73 on June 14. FDO is 6.6% undervalued, still has a buy rating and a reasonable trailing 12 months P/E at 16.9. The daily chart is oversold with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $66.88 and $65.91. The weekly chart stays negative on a close this week below the five-week MMA at $66.01. My semiannual value level is $62.16 with a weekly risky level at $68.45.
Home Depot (HD) ($61.14 vs. $64.83 on Nov. 29 and $60.86 on Oct. 17): Set a new multi-year high at $65.92 on Dec. 3 versus its all-time high of $70.00 set in April 2000. HD is 9.6% overvalued, still has a buy rating and a slightly elevated trailing 12 months P/E at 20.7. The daily chart is oversold with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $62.48 and $55.37. The weekly chart stays negative on a close this week below the five-week MMA at $62.05. My quarterly value level is $58.83 with a weekly risky level as $64.12.
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