(Adds Wednesday's market close information, updated returns and stock ratios.)
NEW YORK (
) -- On some occasions, the obstructionists can be your friends.
When I was asked to pick a bank stock for 2012 as part of the
10 Best Stocks for 2012
series at InvestorPlace, I looked beyond the obvious choices of
Bank of America
(BAC - Get Report)
(C - Get Report)
, both of which had fallen significantly, in order to select a much more profitable bank that had suffered because of delays by regulators in approving two key acquisitions.
Through Wednesday's close at $57.79, Capital One was in first place among the 10 Best Stocks for 2012 at InvestorPlace, trailed by
, which was selected by Charles Sizemore, a registered investment advisor who is also the founder and editor of the
Sizemore Investment Letter
. Capital One's shares are up 37% this year, while Turkcell is up 33%, closing at $15.66.
chose Capital One
on Dec. 16, 2011. The shares had outperformed most of the largest U.S. banks, returning 7% from the start of January 2011 to close at $43.05 on Dec. 15, 2011, while the
KBW Bank Index
declined 27%, Bank of America plummeted 60% and Citigroup sank 45%.
Capital One's shares had pulled back 20% (on a total return basis, including reinvested dividends) from their closing 2011 high May 19.
At that time, Bank of America was trading for just 0.4 times tangible book value, while Citigroup was trading for half its tangible book value. Capital One was much more expensive in a stressed environment for bank stocks, at 1.4 times tangible book value, according to SNL Financial, and also was solidly profitable, with returns on average assets (ROA) ranging from 1.42% and 2.08% over the preceding five quarters.
So why pick Capital One, when Bank of America and Citigroup had so much potential for recovery, since they had already fallen so far? After all, going with "last year's losers" has been a fantastic strategy for 2012, with Bank of America's shares returning 109% through Wednesday's close at $11.55, while Citigroup was up 50%, closing at $39.55.
In December 2011, my inclination was to make a conservative pick of a company with a strong earnings track record, limited downside risk (because of strong earnings) and some sort of "edge," which for Capital One was the softness in the shares from the delayed acquisition approvals.