NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- One of the pitfalls of financial writing is the constant need to want to be right.
Once in a while, though, it pays to listen to that little voice in your head telling you to be careful and not get ahead of yourself, particularly when there's a stock that you want so desperately to like.
Telecommunications equipment maker Ciena (CIEN) serves as the perfect example. In August when it appeared the stock was poised to take off at $18.38, I opted to wait for a better entry point. It turned out I was right.
Today, with the stock sitting at $15 following a subpar fourth-quarter earnings performance, I'm back at this same predicament -- trying to time the perfect buy. Am I pressing my luck?For the period ending in October, Ciena reported non-GAAP loss of 7 cents per share on revenue of $465.5 million. The company missed on both the top and bottom lines as Street estimates called for a loss of 6 cents on revenues of $468.3 million. Revenue dropped by 1.8% sequentially. On the other hand, that it was up 2% year-over-year was encouraging. On a GAAP basis, the company lost $38.8 million, or 39 cents per share. Profitability continues to be a challenge however. Adjusted gross margin was 42.7% -- worse than the 43.2% logged a year ago. But it was 3% better than the third quarter. In terms of guidance, management expects first-quarter revenue to arrive in the range of $435 to $460 million, which is in line with Street estimates of $458.6 million. These projections are certainly not great. But on a relative basis, they are pretty consistent with the guidance provided by rivals Cisco (CSCO) and Juniper (JNPR). However, these names are much bigger, profitable and more agile. Also both Cisco and Juniper have shown an ability to maneuver and adjust more easily. This is despite intense competition and weaker demand. Still, Ciena's overall results were far from a disaster. And the company did show some meaning sequential improvements.
Select the service that is right for you!COMPARE ALL SERVICES
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
- Upgrade/downgrade alerts
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
- Real Money + Doug Kass + 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV