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Capital One Bank Quarterly Small Business Barometer Survey Finds Small Business Confidence Holds Steady Through Three Quarters

The majority of small businesses report that plans for general spending, business development and investment are steady. Sixty-five percent of small businesses plan to keep spending at the same levels, a six point increase from the third quarter of 2011, but a five point decrease from last quarter’s two-year high of 69 percent. This shift parallels the decrease in the number of small businesses that plan to increase spending. Only 14 percent of small businesses forecast increasing business development and investment spending, 11 points lower than the third quarter of 2011, but only one point lower from the previous quarter of 2012.

Availability of Financing

In the third-quarter survey, 21 percent of U.S. small businesses reported they have tried to obtain financing in the last 12 months. This figure, the third highest it has been in the past two years, is four points lower than the previous quarter and two points higher than one year ago (Q3 2011). More than two-fifths (45 percent) of small businesses report that obtaining financing is harder than it was six months ago, an increase of three points from the previous quarter. Eleven percent of small businesses report that obtaining financing is easier than it was six months ago, an increase of two points from the previous quarter.

Survey Methodology

The findings reported in this release are from a telephone survey conducted by the opinion research firm, Braun Research of Princeton NJ. The survey was sponsored by APCO Worldwide of Washington DC. Braun Research completed 1,901 interviews with owners or managers of US for-profit small businesses, defined as those under $10 million in annual revenue (1,901 interviews, 300 in New York, 300 in New Jersey, 300 in Louisiana, 300 in Washington, D.C. and 300 in Texas and a national component of 401). All interviews were conducted by telephone at their places of business. One respondent per business was conducted. The interviews were conducted September 21 st – October 5 th, 2012. The margin of error for each state's study is ± 4.37 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Interviews were monitored at random.

Sampling for this study was conducted using a national sample of businesses drawn from InfoUSA. All interviews were conducted using a computer assisted telephone interviewing system. Statistical weights were designed from the United States Department of Commerce to ensure proper inclusion of all SIC codes.

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