It's Not Apple, It's The 'Fiscal Cliff,' Stupid
Should this happen, there is no way to avoid another recession -- resulting in weak corporate profits and high unemployment. What's more, there is also the threat of meaningful reforms to tax policies including tax cuts from former President Bush that are due to expire.
Likewise, there are payroll taxes as well as concerns over income tax rates that are likely to rise by 5%. Not to mention the threat of current tax breaks for certain businesses that may vanish. What's more, equally impactful and perhaps the major cause of all of this selling is that capital gains taxes are expected to climb from 15% to 20%.
I have to ask, with so much more at stake, what exactly does all of this have to do with Apple suddenly forgetting how to innovate? This is much bigger. But on the other hand, being the huge bull on this country as I am, I don't envision a scenario where our government does not step in and do the right thing. After all, this is the same government that bailed out corporate greed while dismissing the laws of capitalism. It realized there was a greater good.
The so-called "fiscal cliff" is bread in politics -- created to force cooperation within our government as it relates to fiscal policies. It was not indended to beat up on Apple at every turn. Investors are fearful and assuming less risk -- again, this is understandable. But at best, the immediate reaction only serves to preserve capital while the ideals of "fear and greed" -- the basis on which equity "value" was founded are being ignored.
Bottom LineCongress and the president will get this done and figure out a way to avoid another recession. In the meantime, I'd like to give the public a little more credit and say you're not that dumb. But I think I'm alone in that regard as certain articles are being written in ways that presumes incredibly low comprehension levels. Apple is down -- so what. There are very few stocks that have performed as well as Apple year to date where investors are not securing profits. To those writers, I say shame on you. I challenge you to turn the focus on what really matters -- it's the "fiscal cliff" stupid! At the time of publication, the author was long AAPL. Follow @rsaintvilus This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
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