Homeownership and Renting
- Consumers' average home price change expectation edged up slightly to 1.7 percent, continuing the positive trend of the past year.
- Ten percent of those surveyed say that home prices will go down in the next 12 months, a 13 percentage point decrease since October 2011, and the lowest level since the survey's inception in June 2010.
- After a sharp drop last month, the percentage who think mortgage rates will go up rose 4 percentage points in October to 37 percent.
- Seventy-two percent of respondents say it is a good time to buy, while 18 percent say it is a good time to sell, consistent with the trends seen over the past six months.
- The average rental price expectation jumped up by 0.8 percent to 3.9 percent, a return to the level seen in July 2012.
- Fifty percent of those surveyed say home rental prices will go up in the next 12 months, a 3 percentage point rise over last month and the highest level since the survey's inception in June 2010.
- After reaching a survey high last month, the percentage who say it is a good time to buy decreased by 3 percentage points to 66 percent.
The Economy and Household Finances
- The percentage who think the economy is on the right track decreased by 3 points to 38 percent, while the percentage who think it is on the wrong track rose by 3 percentage points to 56 percent.
- The percentage who expect their personal financial situation to get better over the next 12 months remained level at 43 percent.
- Nineteen percent of respondents say their household income is significantly higher than it was 12 months ago, a slight increase from last month's total of 17 percent.
- Household expenses remained stable over the past month, with 56 percent responding that their household expenses stayed the same compared to 12 months ago.
The most detailed consumer attitudinal survey of its kind, the Fannie Mae National Housing Survey polled 1,001 Americans via live telephone interview to assess their attitudes toward owning and renting a home, home purchase and rental price changes, homeownership distress, the economy, household finances, and overall consumer confidence. Homeowners and renters are asked more than 100 questions used to track attitudinal shifts (findings are compared to the same survey conducted monthly beginning June 2010). Fannie Mae conducts this survey and shares monthly and quarterly results so that we may help industry partners and market participants target our collective efforts to stabilize the housing market in the near-term, and provide support in the future.For detailed findings from the October 2012 survey, as well as a podcast providing an audio synopsis of the survey results and technical notes on survey methodology and questions asked of respondents associated with each monthly indicator, please visit the Fannie Mae Monthly National Housing Survey site. Also available on the site are quarterly survey results, which provide a detailed assessment of combined data results from three monthly studies. The October 2012 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey was conducted between October 4, 2012 and October 25, 2012. Interviews were conducted by Penn Schoen Berland, in coordination with Fannie Mae. Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research (ESR) Group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR Group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current, or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views published by the ESR Group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management. Fannie Mae exists to expand affordable housing and bring global capital to local communities in order to serve the U.S. housing market. Fannie Mae has a federal charter and operates in America's secondary mortgage market to enhance the liquidity of the mortgage market by providing funds to mortgage bankers and other lenders so that they may lend to home buyers. Our job is to help those who house America. Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/FannieMae. SOURCE Fannie Mae
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