Sandy Will Spur Timber Stocks
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Hurricane Sandy has been devastating for the Northeast; nevertheless, it could be good news for timber stocks as the region rebuilds, says Michael Underhill, portfolio manager for recently launched Capital Innovations Global Infrastructure, Timber and Agribusiness Fund (INNAX).
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What is your view of the economy and how will Hurricane Sandy affect it?
Underhill: We are in a high-volatility, low GDP growth environment so we believe that investing in food, forests and fuel will enable us to outperform. We have been focused in timber and forestry in holdings like Plum Creek Timber (PCL) and diversified wood products exposure through Louisiana Pacific (LPX). With the housing recovery and reduced supply of lumber and timber, there has been significant leverage to the upside in these positions. Confidence among U.S. homebuilders climbed in September to the highest level in more than six years, adding to signs of progress in residential construction.Finally, the economic impact of Hurricane Sandy reflects an initial $10-20 billion in total property losses, though this figure could end up being significantly higher. The "re-roofing" effect will keep lumber markets very tight well into the spring. A lot of the roofs were not just on your average priced house. What is your top stock pick? Underhill: I would say our favorite is Louisiana Pacific. Pine lumber prices in the U.S. South continued to rise in September and are now 35% higher than year earlier levels. LPX will benefit from higher lumber, OSB [oriented strand board], and engineered wood prices and shipments. Q4 is typically a weak quarter for lumber, but we don't think that will be the case this year. What is your top "sleeper" or "under the radar" stock pick? Underhill: Well, I think that would be Charoen Pokphand, which is Indonesia's largest producer of poultry feed, day-old chicks, and processed chickens -- and it's certainly off a lot of people's radars. The company was founded in 1972 by Charoen Pokphand Group, so they have an operating track record of 40 years. They are absolutely the market leader in Indonesia within each business segment, with strong established brands. They are well positioned to take full advantage of the abundant opportunities in the Indonesian poultry industry. The company has been publicly listed since 1991.
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