This Day On The Street
Continue to site
ADVERTISEMENT
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here

Kass: More on the Business of Politics

  • Electoral College: Obama 303.4 (+3.5) , Romney 234.5 (-3.5)
  • Chance of Winning: Obama 80.9% (+1.9%), Romney 19.1% (-1.9%)
  • Popular Vote: Obama 50.5% (0), Romney 48.4% (-0.1%)

And here is an interesting scenario analysis by Silver, which gauges how often the following situations occurred during repeated simulated elections:

  • Electoral College tie (269 electoral votes for each candidate) 0.3%
  • Recount (one or more decisive states within 0.5 percentage points) 9.4%
  • Obama wins popular vote 78.5%
  • Romney wins popular vote 21.5%
  • Obama wins popular vote but loses electoral college 2.0%
  • Romney wins popular vote but loses electoral college 4.4%
  • Obama landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) 0.5%
  • Romney landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) <0.1%
  • Map exactly the same as in 2008 <0.1%
  • Map exactly the same as in 2004 <0.1%
  • Obama loses at least one state he carried in 2008 99.9%
  • Obama wins at least one state he failed to carry in 2008 5.4%

Here is the latest from Real Clear Politics, and here is Intrade (Obama at 66.6% (+1.1% from yesterday), and Romney at 33.5% (-1.5% from yesterday).
Doug Kass is the president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Check Out Our Best Services for Investors

Action Alerts PLUS

Portfolio Manager Jim Cramer and Director of Research Jack Mohr reveal their investment tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
Quant Ratings

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
Stocks Under $10

David Peltier uncovers low dollar stocks with serious upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
14-Days Free
Only $9.95
14-Days Free
Dividend Stock Advisor

David Peltier identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Trifecta Stocks

Every recommendation goes through 3 layers of intense scrutiny—quantitative, fundamental and technical analysis—to maximize profit potential and minimize risk.

Product Features:
  • Model Portfolio
  • Intra Day Trade alerts
  • Access to Quant Ratings
Real Money

More than 30 investing pros with skin in the game give you actionable insight and investment ideas.

Product Features:
  • Access to Jim Cramer's daily blog
  • Intraday commentary and news
  • Real-time trading forums
Only $49.95
14-Days Free
14-Days Free

Markets

Chart of I:DJI
DOW 15,914.74 -99.64 -0.62%
S&P 500 1,851.86 -0.35 -0.02%
NASDAQ 4,283.5920 +14.8290 0.35%

Our Tweets

Free Reports

Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs