Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts suggest that for refineries, a loss in demand for energy products may be greater than production shortfalls as some Eastern Seaboard refineries go off line.
Phillips 66 (PSX) and Hess (HES) have shuttered large Northeast refineries for storm-related assessments, while regional Philadelphia Energy Solutions refineries remain open. Still, the analysts say Sandy won't help much. Valero (VLO) is the only "buy"-rated refinery.
"Demand likely the bigger risk," Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said of the storm's impact. "The East Coast accounts for roughly 30% of total U.S. demand, and we expect this to come under pressure in coming weeks given school and work closures, combined with 20% of all U.S. flights cancelled."
In spite of power outages that reached in excess of 8 million customers across 17 states, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts don't see a susbstantial earnings loss for major regional utilities like FirstEnergy (FE), Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG), Exelon (EXC) and Con Edison (ED).
"The two biggest issues for utilities from major storms are lost sales and storm costs," notes Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts. "We expect outages will last around a week on average, resulting in lost sales for the utilities. However, for the most part, we do not expect this to be a significant earnings loss." Still, investors should watch for any political or regulatory fallout, the bank said. In the airline sector, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts calculate U.S. airlines may have lost $500 million in revenue and $100 million in profits, and highlights JetBlue (JBLU), US Airways (LCC) andDelta (DAL) as carriers most exposed to the Northeast. The Street reported New York's LaGuardia airport may reopen on Thursday, while select flights are scheduled for Kennedy Airport and Newark of New Jersey. "Given advanced warning, airline operations should recover quicker than normal," Bank of America Merrill Lynch wrote in its assessment of Sandy's impact on airlines, which highlights that the sector's relatively strong earnings may continue in spite of flight cancellations.Select the service that is right for you!
COMPARE ALL SERVICESAction Alerts PLUS
TRY IT FREEJim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.
Product Features:
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Dividend Stock Advisor
TRY IT FREENew! $49.95/yr
Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
Product Features:
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Stocks Under $10
TRY IT FREEDavid Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.
Product Features:
- Model portfolio
- Stocks trading below $10
- Intraday trade alerts
- Weekly roundups
Real Money
TRY IT FREE24/7 market commentary from Jim Cramer and 20+ veteran Wall Street gurus. Get access to the latest trading ideas on stocks, options, and ETFs as well as a real-time forum to see the pros exchanging their investment ideas.
Product Features:
- Jim Cramer + 20 Wall Street pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Real-time trading forum
- Actionable trade ideas
Real Money Pro
TRY IT FREEAll of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.
Product Features:
- Real Money + Doug Kass + 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Options Profits
TRY IT FREEOur options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.
Product Features:
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV