Your Board of Directors unanimously recommends that Oshkosh shareholders
REJECT MR. ICAHN’S OFFER and NOT TENDER your shares pursuant to the Offer.
In reaching its recommendation, your Board considered numerous factors, including, but not limited to:
- The Company has outlined a clear and detailed strategy. The Board believes, and third-party observers have recognized, that continued execution of the Company’s MOVE strategy will deliver substantially greater value for shareholders than Mr. Icahn’s highly contingent Offer. Oshkosh is targeting:
- Doubling adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations to $4.00-$4.50 per share by fiscal 2015 compared to fiscal 2012 expectations, yielding a 23%-30% compound annual growth rate in earnings per share; 2
- 10% compound annual growth rate in non-defense revenue from fiscal 2012 through fiscal 2015 representing a $220 million operating income opportunity in its non-defense businesses through fiscal 2015, even in a modest market recovery;
- 250 basis points of incremental consolidated operating income margin by fiscal 2015 compared to fiscal 2011;
- $350 million of incremental annual revenue through value innovation opportunities by fiscal 2015 compared to fiscal 2012; and
- Greater than 25% of its revenues from outside of the United States by fiscal 2015, and 30% by fiscal 2016.
- During fiscal 2012, the MOVE strategy delivered results. Oshkosh management raised fiscal 2012 performance outlook multiple times during fiscal 2012 as the execution of the MOVE strategy delivered tangible results and significantly beat Wall Street consensus estimates for each quarter of fiscal 2012.
- In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012, Oshkosh delivered adjusted consolidated operating income of $110.4 million and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.65, compared to adjusted operating income of $87.4 million and adjusted EPS of $0.50 in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011. Operating income margins improved in all segments in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012 compared to the prior year fourth quarter.
- Access Equipment net sales increased 42.3% to $2.92 billion in fiscal 2012 compared to fiscal 2011. Sales to external customers totaled $2.79 billion in fiscal 2012, a 43.7% increase compared to fiscal 2011, and operating income margins increased from 3.2% in fiscal 2011 to 7.9% in fiscal 2012.
- International sales increased 21% in fiscal 2012 compared to fiscal 2011; Oshkosh announced a contract to produce 750 M-ATVs for the United Arab Emirates for delivery in fiscal 2013.
- The FMTV program was profitable throughout fiscal 2012.
- Oshkosh is executing its plan to address lower expected defense spending and is exiting underperforming non-core businesses, including its ambulance and mobile medical businesses.
- The Company has acquired approximately 500,000 shares since reinstituting a share repurchase plan in August 2012.
- The Company’s solid balance sheet will allow it to be opportunistic as it evaluates future capital allocation alternatives to enhance shareholder value.
- A substantial majority of Wall Street sell-side research analysts that cover the Company and that have expressed a viewpoint following the Company’s Analyst Day and/or Mr. Icahn’s Offer have reached the basic conclusions that they support MOVE and/or believe the Offer undervalues Oshkosh.
- Following the Company’s September 14, 2012 Analyst Day, sell-side research analysts covering the Company expressed a largely favorable view of the MOVE strategy, and several increased their valuation targets (which do not include a control premium) to prices well above the Offer price. Analysts have stated, among other things, their beliefs that:
- The Company’s current valuation is not yet fully reflective of the earnings potential over the next few years;
- The Company’s management has a history of over delivering on its estimates for the Company’s results;
- The Company’s 2013-2015 targets are likely reasonable;
- The Company’s cost reduction initiatives and product redesigns should yield significant margin improvements in coming years; and
- The Company’s valuation should reflect multiple expansion as the Company continues to deliver results under the MOVE strategy.
- Following Mr. Icahn’s press release on October 11, 2012, indicating his intent to commence a tender offer, analysts have raised questions as to the overall credibility of the Offer, as well as its inadequate value versus the analysts’ standalone valuation estimates (which do not include a control premium). Numerous analysts have stated that they believe:
- The Offer undervalues the Company;
- The MOVE strategy is a strong path forward for building value for the Company’s shareholders;
- The Company’s projections represent a growth story that would result in a significantly higher valuation than the Offer;
- The Offer does not fully consider the Company’s future free cash flow potential;
- The MOVE strategy is the Company’s best alternative for shareholders; and
- Shareholders should not sell into the Offer.
- Your Board and management team have the right experience and a deeper understanding of the Company and its markets, and are far more capable than Mr. Icahn of leading the Company forward, evaluating and pursuing strategic alternatives and delivering value to all Oshkosh shareholders.
- Mr. Icahn has promoted misguided ideas for the Company in the past, including a merger with Navistar and a sale of JLG, highlighting his lack of understanding of the Company and the industry in which it operates, as well as his promotion of his own interests over the interests of other shareholders. Pursuing either course would have been a mistake – even disastrous – for the Company.
- Navistar’s stock price dropped sharply this year, from a 52-week high of $48.18 on February 3, 2012, to a low of $18.59 on October 25, 2012.
- JLG’s operating income increased 251% to $229.2 million, or 7.9% of sales, in fiscal 2012 compared to $65.3 million, or 3.2% of sales, in the prior year.
- Now, Mr. Icahn is promoting another misguided idea by asking shareholders to tender their shares to him at a low-ball price that even he believes – and stated publicly on the date he announced his Offer – undervalues the Company.
- Mr. Icahn is also resurrecting his misguided ideas for JLG. Last year, the Company discussed with its shareholders how the Board carefully analyzed alternatives for JLG and concluded they did not create value for the Company’s shareholders, and the Board believes this conclusion has been proven correct. The Board’s conclusion has not changed this year following multiple further reviews of JLG alternatives.
- Your Board has extensive experience leading M&A and divestiture/spin-off transactions, direct experience with the U.S. Department of Defense, policy expertise, CEO and CFO experience and operational leadership. Twelve of the thirteen Oshkosh directors are independent, including a non-executive, independent Chairman, and furthermore, five of Oshkosh’s independent directors joined the Board since October 2010, with three new directors added in the past 18 months, providing a fresh perspective.
- If a strategic opportunity, including a sale of the Company, were to be pursued, the Company’s Board and management are far more capable of guiding the Company through such a process than Mr. Icahn.
- The Board has always taken its fiduciary duties to shareholders very seriously and would discharge those duties properly in the context of analyzing any third-party proposal with respect to the Company. If Mr. Icahn had proposed an alternative that created greater value than the Company’s current strategy, the Board would have been open to exploring that alternative. However, he has failed to do so.
- The identity and track record of Mr. Icahn, as well as the lengthy list of substantial conditions to his Offer – including a condition that Mr. Icahn’s full slate of nominees to the Board be elected at the 2013 annual meeting of shareholders – create significant uncertainty and risk and give Mr. Icahn wide latitude not to consummate his Offer.
- Mr. Icahn has an extremely poor track record with respect to similar situations. According to publicly available data, since 2000, affiliates of Mr. Icahn made public proposals to acquire all, or a substantial portion of, at least 16 other public companies that were not in bankruptcy proceedings at the time, and launched a tender offer in respect of seven of these companies. Mr. Icahn and his affiliates failed to consummate all but one of these acquisition attempts.
- Mr. Icahn’s Offer contains a long list of conditions, including a condition that all of Mr. Icahn’s nominees to the Board be elected at the Oshkosh 2013 Annual Meeting of Shareholders.
- According to the Schedule TO filed by Mr. Icahn, all of the conditions to his Offer are for the sole benefit of Mr. Icahn. The Schedule TO claims that Mr. Icahn may assert that a condition has not been satisfied – even if the failure of such condition to be satisfied was caused by his action or inaction – and such determination will not be subject to challenge.
Your Board encourages shareholders to send a clear message to Mr. Icahn that you will not allow him to pursue his self-serving agenda and will not permit him to take control of Oshkosh for a price significantly below the Company’s value. Tendering into Mr. Icahn’s Offer would only encourage Mr. Icahn in his opportunistic attempt to acquire Oshkosh at the inadequate price of $32.50 per share – a price that even he admitted was below the Company’s value.
Select the service that is right for you!COMPARE ALL SERVICES
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
- Upgrade/downgrade alerts
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
- Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV