Analysts gain lots of attention when they set target prices that are well-beyond a company’s closing price. Bloomberg published a list of companies with the highest gap between the average target and the trading price.
Investors should not expect consensus calls to be correct, but companies below their target prices are a good way to look for trading opportunities. Still, analysts could downgrade a company to be in line with more reasonable expectations.
Business Section: Investing Ideas
In recent weeks, weak earnings from Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOG), and AMD (AMD) confirm the PC sector is at a cyclical trough. Investors who bid up shares for these companies will have to look for the economy to improve. Windows 8, touted as the system to boost PC sales, will take time to play out. Intel said that there are over 100 tablet-PC designs that will reach the market in the months ahead.
The surprise decline in PC bell-weathers also hurt shares for many other technology
Despite Micron forecast to provide 64.6% upside, semiconductor chip companies have the highest risk as sentiment shifts down. The companies with the most downside are NVIDIA (NVDA), Micron (MU), and AMD (AMD). AMD is trading at 30% below its target price. These companies have costs associated with plant utilization. Intel is already reducing its supply for chip production in the weeks ahead, in anticipation of reduced demand. Hard-drive maker Western Digital (WDC), who benefited from a shortage in early-2012, will also be face lower demand as PC-sales drop this quarter.
LSI Corporation (LSI), JDS Uniphase (JDSU), virtualization software maker Citrix Systems (CTXS), and Agilent Technologies (A) rely on corporate demand. These customers are cautious on their spending, but the demand is not declining as fast as on the consumer side.
Written by Kapitall’s Chris Lau. Disclosure: Author may acquire shares in NVIDIA within 72 hours of this publication.
To interact and discuss these picks with users, attach your watch list or portfolio to your friends on Kapitall. Message the author. He is ranked sixth (by points) on the all-time leaderboard. The leaderboard is located on your score icon -> Leaderboard. Members on Kapitall earn free points, and even more points with every Kapitall Generation trade. These points may be redeemed for goods at the Kapitall store.
Select the service that is right for you!
COMPARE ALL SERVICESAction Alerts PLUS
TRY IT FREEJim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.
Product Features:
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Dividend Stock Advisor
TRY IT FREENew! $49.95/yr
Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
Product Features:
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Stocks Under $10
TRY IT FREEDavid Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.
Product Features:
- Model portfolio
- Stocks trading below $10
- Intraday trade alerts
- Weekly roundups
Real Money
TRY IT FREE24/7 market commentary from Jim Cramer and 20+ veteran Wall Street gurus. Get access to the latest trading ideas on stocks, options, and ETFs as well as a real-time forum to see the pros exchanging their investment ideas.
Product Features:
- Jim Cramer + 20 Wall Street pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Real-time trading forum
- Actionable trade ideas
Real Money Pro
TRY IT FREEAll of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.
Product Features:
- Real Money + Doug Kass + 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Options Profits
TRY IT FREEOur options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.
Product Features:
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV