I like to do five-year earnings valuations on stocks. I begin with consensus estimates for next year, extrapolate them out over the next five years, and then apply a multiple that I think is appropriate for the company. Here is what that calculation looks like at the current time:
With the stock currently trading at 22.8 times forward earnings against a growth rate of 12%, the PEG ratio comes in at a very unfavorable 1.90. My five-year target price comes in at $51.65. This give the shares just 54.5% upside potential over the next five years. I like stocks that have more upside potential than that, preferable 80% to 100%.The bottom line is this: Out of the 3,041 different investments that I have to choose from (l like to own about 25 stocks on my client's portfolios) Consol Energy comes in at number 2,012. While I believe Gov. Romney will be our next president and that he will create a more favorable environment for the coalminers, it is still too soon to take a position in this sector. Data from Best Stocks Now App This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
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