Bill Gross: Gold Will Thrive in 'Ring of Fire'
NEW YORK ( TheGoldandOilGuy.com) -- Bill Gross is one of the most recognizable names in the investment world. He is the founder and co-chief investment officer at bond fund giant PIMCO. His long-term track record regarding bonds is among the best and he still runs the world's biggest bond fund, the PIMCO Total Return Fund.
Gross is also known for speaking quite bluntly about the U.S.'s growing debt problem. His latest monthly market commentary came with a warning for the U.S. and investors alike. Gross stated that a number of recent studies have concluded that "The U.S. balance sheet, its deficit and its 'fiscal gap' is in flames and that its fire department is apparently asleep at the station house."
The recent studies Gross pointed to came from the Congressional Budget Office, the International Monetary Fund and the Bank of International Settlements. The studies calculated the U.S. needs to cut spending or raise taxes by 11% of GDP over the next five to 10 years.
This translates to $1.6 trillion per year. That compares to the country's 8% of GDP deficit in 2011. Those numbers put the U.S. in the "ring of fire" with other countries with similar fiscal gap sizes. These countries include Greece, Spain, Japan, France and the U.K.Gross warned that the U.S. debt problems have put the country in this "ring of fire" that will burn most investors. The only investors who will not get "burned"? He says the lucky few will be those that are protected by gold and other real assets, protected from a severe U.S. dollar depreciation caused by the Federal Reserve's money printing. In a white paper titled "GOLD - The Simple Facts" posted on PIMCO's Web site, PIMCO analysts Nicholas J. Johnson and Mihir P. Worah also said some interesting things. Here is an excerpt, "Our bottom line: given current valuations and central bank policies, we see gold as a compelling inflation hedge and store of value that is potentially superior to fiat currencies." They pointed out the positive supply/demand characteristics of gold as a big plus in their scenario. The PIMCO analysts went on to say, "We believe investors should consider allocating gold and other precious metals to a diversified investment portfolio."
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