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Santander Mexico Cures Tequila Hangover

Stocks in this article: SAN

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- As the global market wrings it hands over Spain's banking problems, Mexico is saying "been there, done that."

That disconnect may be some of the motivation behind Spanish banking giant Banco Santander (SAN) seeking to raise 3.4 billion in euros through the public offering of a quarter of its Mexican bank holdings.

Santander Mexico is a solid banking franchise. Looking at the offering, it's hard to believe that only 18 years ago Mexico devalued its peso. Labeled the "tequila crisis," the government had gone on a spending spree and ran up a huge deficit, roughly 7% of the GDP. Throw in corrupt banking practices and lax regulations to compound the problem.

It all came to a head when investors that had purchased a Mexican financial product called "tesobonos" sold them, which triggered a currency crisis. The tesabonos were linked to the dollar. The United States under President Clinton bailed out the country to the tune of $20 billion, which Mexico paid back and America ended up profiting $500 million on the deal.

Fast forward to today where Spain's deficit is in a similar boat at roughly 6.3% of its GDP and now Spain needs a bailout.

For Banco Santander, it must hurt to sell off such a nicely functioning part of the banking enterprise as Santander Mexico generates 12% of its parent's company profits.

Mexico is the second largest population in Latin America with an economy delivering 3.6% GDP growth. That number would've been even higher if the United States wasn't experiencing its problems. Mexico also has the lowest inflation rate in Latin America and only 4.9% unemployment.

Morningstar analyst James Krapfel believes the Mexican banking system is healthy and that there is room to expand. He points outs that Santander Mexico's profitability is above average to its peers. His concern is that the IPO is priced to perfection. "It leaves very little margin of safety," he wrote in his report.

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