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CIT Would Be Deal Gravy for Wells Fargo: Street Whispers

Mutascio also listed U.S. Bancorp (USB) as a possible acquirer for CIT Group. U.S. Bancorp has been an even stronger earner than Wells Fargo, with an ROA of 1.59% for the 12-month period ended June 20, and an ROA of 14.79%. USB's shares closed at $34.04 Friday, returning 27% year-to-date. With the company remaining profitable right through the credit crisis and among the best earners among the largest industry players, USB trades for 3.1 times tangible book value, and 11 times the consensus 2013 EPS estimate of $3.04.

According to Mutascio, an acquisition of CIT Group by U.S. Bancorp, assuming a 50/50 split of cash and stock, or a 100% cash deal, "would actually be more accretive" to earnings than an acquisition of CIT by Wells Fargo.

"However, we think the chances of a USB acquisition of CIT are lower than WFC," Mutascio said, "because USB may have traditional bank acquisitions higher on its radar screen in order to expand its geographical footprint."

"In addition, we believe WFC may be more comfortable (from a risk perspective) with CIT's specialty finance loan portfolios than USB, given its experience with such lending as evidenced by the fact WFC has purchased two portfolios from CIT in the past."

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-- Written by Philip van Doorn in Jupiter, Fla.

>Contact by Email.

Philip W. van Doorn is a member of TheStreet's banking and finance team, commenting on industry and regulatory trends. He previously served as the senior analyst for TheStreet.com Ratings, responsible for assigning financial strength ratings to banks and savings and loan institutions. Mr. van Doorn previously served as a loan operations officer at Riverside National Bank in Fort Pierce, Fla., and as a credit analyst at the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York, where he monitored banks in New York, New Jersey and Puerto Rico. Mr. van Doorn has additional experience in the mutual fund and computer software industries. He holds a bachelor of science in business administration from Long Island University.
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