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Transport Stocks Hit Speed Bump

Stocks in this article: IYT KSU UPS JBHT OSG

Last 12-Month Return (%): Stocks with a red number declined by that percentage over the past 12 months. Stocks with a black number rallied by that percentage over the past 12 months.

Forecast One-Year Return: Stocks with a red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next 12 months. Stocks with a black number in the table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next 12 months.

Analysis of the Transportation Stocks

A look at the overvalued/undervalued data shows that only three of the transportation stocks are overvalued, with Kansas City Southern (KSU) overvalued by 8.2%. The most undervalued is Overseas Shipholding (OSG) at 64.4% undervalued

There is one "1-Engine" Strong Sell-rated stock (OSG), 10 "3-Engine" Hold-rated stocks, 11 "4-Engine" Buy-rated stocks, and two "5-Engine" Strong Buy-rated stocks. There are three ratings changes for the airlines this morning. Alaska Air (ALK) was downgraded to Hold from Buy, Southwest (LUV) was upgraded to Buy from Hold and United Continental (UAL) was downgraded to Hold from Buy.

The best performers over the past 12 months were KSU with a gain of 53.1%, Union Pacific (UAL) with a gain of 41.2% and JB Hunt (JBHT) with a gain of 36.3%. The biggest loser was OSG with a loss of 58.8%.

We do not have a projection on the performance of OSG for the next 12 months, but all others are expected to be higher, led by UNP by 13.6% and United Parcel Service by 12.5%.

Ten of the 20 stocks have elevated price-to-earnings ratios of 15.1 to 23.4.

Value Levels, Pivots and Risky Levels for Seven Transport Stocks

CSX (CSX) ($22.78): My monthly value level is $21.19 with a semiannual pivot at $22.60 and a quarterly risky level at $27.63.

FedEx (FDX) ($88.00): My semiannual value level is $82.97 with a weekly pivot at $88.47 and a monthly risky level at $96.15.

JB Hunt ($53.12): My semiannual and annual value levels are $49.82 and $49.52, respectively, with a quarterly risky level at $61.28.

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