NEW YORK (
TheStreet) -- It seems networking giant
(CSCO - Get Report) continues to move in the right direction. But it must still convince a market that rarely forgives and never forgets that it still deserves to be discussed as one that can deliver market-beating performance on a consistent basis.
On Wednesday, it will have another chance when it releases its fourth-quarter earnings results after the market close. Analysts are expecting net income of 41 cents per share on revenue of $11.62 billion, an increase from the 35 cents (or 17%) earned the previous year. For the fiscal year analysts are expecting $1.63 in earnings on $45.98 billion in revenue.
There aren't many companies outside of
(AAPL) with the same string of recent performances as Cisco. In fact, over the past four quarters the company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth averaging over 6% while averaging 5% growth in net income during that span.
For these reasons, I would be a buyer of the stock ahead of its report and sell two of its rivals,
(FFIV - Get Report) and
(RVBD - Get Report).
When looking at F5, I see a company executing as well as it can, but the stock remains grossly expensive. From the standpoint of value and the fact that earlier this year the company climbed 23% on the year, it is hard to ignore the reality that investors might have already missed the boat.
What's more, after its most recent earnings report (where it produced decent numbers), management issued guidance suggesting headwinds will likely be more harsh than previously anticipated. In the meantime, competitors such as Cisco and
(HPQ - Get Report)
are executing to perfection. It would seem this will only add increasing pressure to F5 to continue to perform.
I think for F5 this was the chief reason (among others) why the company issued less-than-favorable guidance, which resulted in a severe punishment of the stock to the extent that it dropped over 13%. (It has slightly recovered since then.)
My bearishness for Riverbed is for similar reasons. However, it is not executing as well as F5, which prompted me to call it
one of the best shorts on the market
as the stock was (then) trading at $20.
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