Jensen: Consider These Small-Cap Manufacturers
By Bret Jensen
07/31/12 - 06:00 AM EDT
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After last week's late-rally on comments by the European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi, It should be an interesting week in the market. I don't think the rally is sustainable because Europe is likely to remain a mess for the foreseeable future due to the current tepid domestic job and economic growth as well as an apparent slowdown in corporate profits.
- Roughly two-thirds of the stock's market capitalization is represented by net cash on its balance sheet and the stock is priced at just 90% of book value.
- An insider made a $1.8 million buy in late May, which was the first insider purchase in 2012.
- The stock is selling at the bottom of its five-year valuation based on P/B, P/S and P/CF. The median price target by the five analysts who cover OPLK is around $22 a share, with price targets ranging from $19 to $33 a share.
- Revenue growth is predicted to return in fiscal-year 2013 with double-digit sales increases. The stock is also cheap, trading below 7x forward earnings (once you strip out net cash).
- The company has a robust balance sheet with about $38 million in net cash on the books (roughly 35% of its market capitalization).
- Insiders have been net buyers of the stock over the past year; the last purchases occurred in April.
- The market is discounting the company's growth prospects. Analysts expect between 8% and 12% revenue growth in fiscal-year 2012 and fiscal-year 2013. The stock sells for a five-year projected PEG of less than 1 (0.65).
- The shares are cheap, trading at just 9x forward earnings (6x if you strip out net cash). It also appears the stock has good technical support around the $20 level.
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