On the one hand, we have The Associated Press. In an article dramatically titled "Facebook's day of reckoning," The AP portrays today's earnings as the end-all-and-be-all. You think the handing down of The Ten Commandments was a big deal? Just wait until we hear whether Facebook hit Wall Street's consensus estimate of 12 cents a share on revenue of $1.16 billion.
On the other, we have Forbes, sneering and dismissive about the significance of the coming report. Its headline? "Don't Pay Any Attention To Facebook's Q2 Earnings Report."
And so, according to the media, Facebook's earnings are of unrivaled importance and will define Facebook for the ages... or, uh, don't worry your pretty little head about them.Who is right? Even asking that question gives the intellectual practice of gravitating to the extremes too much credit. The truth is in the middle ground that the media too often treats as tripwired. In the moment, Facebook's earnings will be impactful. The company had a famously bumpy start as a public company, thanks to an unwholesome initial public offering. If they hit or exceed expectations, they'll find a bit of redemption in the short-run. But this quarter is anything but company defining. Success or failure assures little for the long term. Here's what you always need to remember about Facebook and companies like it -- from LinkedIn (LNKD) to Zynga (ZNGA). In the grand scheme of things, they are new companies, and organizations in the larval stage set little in the way of long-term patterns. Even their industry (if you can even call social media that) is new, open to years of wholesale change. Is Facebook's earnings report today going to count for something? Sure, it will have an inevitable impact in the coming days and weeks on the stock price and public perception. But long-term, Facebook is still an open book. At the time of publication, the author had no positions in the stocks mentioned. This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
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