Stock Futures Tick Up, Fed Policy in Focus
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- U.S. stock futures were ticking higher Wednesday as investors awaited the outcome of the latest Federal Reserve meeting.
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average were rising by 16 points, or 14.7 points above fair value, at 12,778. Futures for the S&P 500 were up by 1.6 points, or 0.8 points above fair value, at 1352, and futures for the Nasdaq 100 were up 7 points, or 4.6 points above fair value, at 2620.
The major U.S. equity indices finished sharply higher on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 soaring to a one-month high, as risk-tolerant investors bet that additional fiscal stimulus is forthcoming from the Fed.
"The Fed offers a moment of economic sanity with its rate decision," said Paul Donovan, global economist at UBS, ahead of the conclusion of the Fed's two-day meeting. "The strength of broad money supply, Beige Book credit comments and overall activity argue against further quantitative measures. There is a small risk of a sterilised (so definitively not quantitative policy) operation Twist.""If the Fed does nothing, but hints (either in the statement or via comments made by Bernanke) that further action may come as soon as the August 1, 2012 FOMC meeting, the markets would still likely be disappointed," said John Canally, economist for LPL Financial. "The markets' focus then would shift to Bernanke's press conference and back to the Fed's new economic forecast, as participants try to gauge the timing of the next round of stimulus." After the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting, the Federal Reserve will post its statement at 12:30 p.m. EDT Wednesday, followed by the outlook of policymakers on the Fed funds rate and economy at 2 p.m. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is expected to address the press at 2:15 p.m. Asian markets settled higher in anticipation of the outcome of the Fed meeting. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index settled up 0.53% and Japan's Nikkei average closed higher by 1.11%. Meanwhile the FTSE in London was up by 0.56% and the DAX in Germany was up 0.31%, with the euro gaining a bit of traction. The FTSE was edging higher as data showed that employment in the United Kingdom increased to the highest level in more than three years in April and as minutes from the Bank of England's last policy meeting indicated that the central bank was very close to supporting more monetary stimulus for the economy. Both Spanish and Italian 10-year bond yields were easing Wednesday morning. Eurozone leaders said at the Group of 20 summit of industrialized nations in Mexico this week that they would strive to reach an agreement on integrating their regional banks by December. In Greece, there looked to be significant progress in forming a coalition government among pro-bailout parties. August crude oil futures were down 9 cents at $84.26 a barrel. August gold futures were slipping $7.40 to $1,615.80 an ounce. The benchmark 10-year Treasury was down 2/32, raising the yield to 1.627%, while the dollar was trading sideways, according to the dollar index. In corporate news, Adobe Systems (ADBE), the publishing software maker, provided a disappointing outlook for its fiscal third quarter on Tuesday because of a "weaker demand forecast" for Europe. Adobe forecast non-GAAP earnings of 56 cents to 61 cents a share for the three months ending in August on revenue of $1.075 billion to $1.125 billion. Analysts forecast profit of 61 cents a share on revenue of $1.133 billion. Procter & Gamble (PG), the consumer-products giant, reduced its fourth-quarter profit and revenue forecasts because of slower-than-anticipated sales growth in developed markets. P&G said Wednesday it expects to post core earnings for the quarter ending in June of 75 cents to 79 cents a share; its previous estimate was 79 cents to 85 cents a share. Analysts forecast core earnings of 82 cents a share in P&G's fiscal fourth quarter. P&G said organic sales are expected to rise 2% to 3% in the quarter; its previous estimate was 4% to 5%. The company said foreign exchange is expected to reduce net sales by 4% in the quarter. Net sales are expected to be in the range of down 2% to 1%; it previously expected an increase of 1% to 2%. Quest Software (QSFT) agreed to a higher buyout bid of $2.17 billion after Insight Venture Partners added Vector Capital as a new partner. The new bid is for $25.75 a share, up from a competing bid of $25.50 a share that was reportedly made by Dell (DELL). Jabil Circuit (JBL) reported adjusted fiscal third-quarter profit of 64 cents a share on revenue of $4.3 billion, in line with analysts' estimates.
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