NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- Jefferies analyst Emlen Harmon on Monday said that banks with "Midwest footprints have the greatest probability of economic improvement over the next six months, closely followed by the Northeast."
Using a large "stacked" set of Federal Reserve data, Jefferies found that the "conventional wisdom that economies in the Northeast, Midwest, and Texas have held up better than other broad regions, while the Southeast and West Coast face more difficulties."
Harmon said that the footprints of Cullen Frost Bankers (CFR) of San Antonio, Texas, Signature Bank (SBNY) of New York and Boston Private Financial Holdings (BPFH) "have held up the best through the cycle, while those of" Western Alliance BanCorp (WAL) of Phoenix, Bank of Hawaii (BOH) and SunTrust (STI - Get Report) of Atlanta, "appear to have fared the worst."
Then again, "there are names that appear to buck the regional trend," and a quick look at the firm's stock ratings shows that two of those that "fared the worst" have low enough valuations for Jefferies to recommend the shares to investors.Here are the 10 regional banks with "Buy" ratings from Jefferies, moving by region east to west: Signature Bank
Shares of Signature Bank of New York, N.Y., closed at $64.19 Friday, returning 7% year-to-date, following a 20% return during 2011.