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Bulls Cherry-pick News: Dave's Daily


U.S. GDP Data was worse than expected (2.2% vs 2.6% expected & prior 3%). There's nothing good about this data unless you believe spring weather caught up with a warm winter. Is that the spin? Perhaps. Others might just return to the previous mantra from the past few years: "bad news is good, good news is better" cynically meaning the Fed will launch another round of QE. It's the belief by bulls that no matter the data the Fed has your back until its QE effect exhausts itself. Nevertheless the weaker GDP data confirms what we're seeing globally--economic contraction.

Better news came from the U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report (76.4 vs 75.8 expected and prior 75.7) which is weighted more heavily by stock market prices than Consumer Confidence released last week which missed.

Earnings news featured blow-out results from Amazon (AMZN) and Expedia (EXPE). These outsized gains positively affected FDN (First Trust DJ Internet ETF) and XLY (SPDR Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF). It just shows how ecommerce companies continue to advance even as retail overall advances. 

Other sectors advancing Friday were REITs (IYR), Homebuilders (ITB), Industrial (XLI), Biotech (XBI) and Small Caps (IWM) among others. Lagging were Financials (XLF) and Consumer Staples (XLP).

The dollar (UUP) was once again weaker, gold (GLD) higher and commodities (DBC & JJC) mostly higher with the weaker dollar. Bonds (IEF & TLT) remained well bid.

Once again there is some end-of-month window dressing going on despite its supposed illegality.

Volume overall was ultra-light once again and breadth per the WSJ was once again positive.

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SPY - The SPDR® S&P 500® ETF is a fund that, before expenses, generally corresponds to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.
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IWM - The iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the small capitalization sector of the U.S. equity market as represented by the Russell 2000 Index. The index represents the approximately 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index.
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QQQ - PowerShares Capital Management LLC is passionate about our goal of delivering the highest quality investment management available through one of the more benefit-rich investment vehicles ever created, the exchange-traded fund. PowerShares QQQ¿, formerly known as "QQQ" or the "NASDAQ- 100 Index Tracking Stock®", is an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq-100 Index®. The Fund will, under most circumstances, consists of all of stocks in the Index. The Index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. The portfolio is rebalanced quarterly and reconstituted annually.

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