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This week we kick off the second quarter of 2012. From an economic perspective, the first week of April is a busy one, particularly for the jobs picture. On Friday, all eyes will turn to the monthly nonfarm payroll report. The bar has been set high; during the past three months, we have enjoyed some solid signs of improvement on this front.
History is on the market's side. Over the years, April has consistently proven to be a strong month for stocks. Nevertheless, although the market's strength and resilience during the opening months of the year have boosted confidence, patience is still warranted.
iPath Dow Jones UBS Natural Gas Subindex Total Return ETN(GAZ)
The premium-laden GAZ fell last week as commodities stumbled and the ETN retreated toward its underlying index. The instrument's weak spell has extended beyond the past week, though. On a one-month basis, GAZ has fallen about 25%.
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The dismal performances seen from GAZ and the
VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX Short Term ETN(TVIX) over the past month have helped to underscore the inherent dangers associated with disconnected exchange-traded products.
GAZ's premium has declined considerably, but at 60%, it is still trading well out of line with its benchmark. Steer clear of this product.
Energy Select Sector SPDR(XLE)
We continue to see signs of improvement here in the U.S., but China growth fears are putting a damper on optimism. Commodity producers, in particular, are feeling the pressure as the emerging growth engine struggles to get itself back on track.
Over the past month, XLE and the
Materials Select Sector SPDR(XLB) have suffered some notable losses.
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As we head into a new quarter, I encourage investors to hold off on running for cover. News from China will continue to dominate headlines, but you can weather the turmoil by maintaining a strong, diversified portfolio.
Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF(MOO)
Earnings season will ceremoniously kick off next Tuesday when aluminum giant
Alcoa(AA) steps up to the plate. This week, though, there are a number of other companies scheduled to report. For agriculture-hungry investors,
Monsanto's(MON) showing will be particularly important to watch.