This Day On The Street
Continue to site right-arrow
ADVERTISEMENT
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here
TheStreet Open House

Stock Rally Fades With CDS Issue: Dave's Daily

Stocks in this article: AAPLJPMKBEGMCRXLK

The all-important Employment Report was positive beating estimates but was lower than previous reports (227K new jobs vs 210K expected & prior revised higher 284K: unemployment rate unchanged @ 8.3%). Under the radar screen were Business Inventories missed (.4% vs .6% expected & 1% prior), and the Trade Deficit worsened (-$52.6B vs $-50.4B). The latter was caused by petroleum which will heighten domestic energy policy debates. The trade report caused Goldman Sachs (GS) to lower GDP estimates to 1.8% as if anyone cared.  

"Soon or late, everyone sits down to a banquet of consequences."

Robert Louis Stevenson

Stevenson's quote reminded markets late the Greek default (structured or otherwise) has triggered CDS (Credit Default Swap) events. Some major investment banks (you know, the usual suspects) have underwritten and sold these products for generous fees. Now it's time to pay the piper. Let's see how this will work or not. Is Goldman Sachs on the right side of this trade again for itself? Remember the story about their secret loan deal with Greeks that disadvantaged Greece but enriched GS? (Greeks should beware of GS bearing gifts)

Stock markets initially liked the employment report and aftermath of the Greek resolution (perhaps a poor word choice) Friday rallying sharply before coasting lower to the finish line. The important thing for the financial media was to spin: "U.S. stocks end higher Friday; S&P, NASDAQ mark fourth week of gains." Yeah man, that's what it's all about.

Now, don't get me wrong, we're long so we're also players in this central bank "let's reflate" deal.

Leading stocks higher today were banks (see usual suspects from CDS note) and financials (XLF, KBE, JPM) as theoretically, and unless they're on the wrong side of the CDS dealings, they profit from Greek bailouts.

Oddly, since it's out of whack with normal correlations, the dollar rallied sharply as did gold with a sharp reversal. This was out of the norm. Energy prices (USO, UGA, UNG) and commodities (DJP, JJC, JJG and so forth) overall were higher.

Volume was ridiculously light as if Friday was a holiday. Breadth per the WSJ was positive.

Join the banter with us on twitter and facebook.

SPY - The SPDR® S&P 500® ETF is a fund that, before expenses, generally corresponds to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.
See more details

IWM - The iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the small capitalization sector of the U.S. equity market as represented by the Russell 2000 Index. The index represents the approximately 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index.
See more details

QQQ - PowerShares Capital Management LLC is passionate about our goal of delivering the highest quality investment management available through one of the more benefit-rich investment vehicles ever created, the exchange-traded fund.PowerShares QQQ¿, formerly known as "QQQ" or the "NASDAQ- 100 Index Tracking Stock®", is an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq-100 Index®. The Fund will, under most circumstances, consists of all of stocks in the Index. The Index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. The portfolio is rebalanced quarterly and reconstituted annually.
See more details

Continue to U.S. Sector, Stocks & Bond ETFs

1 of 5

Select the service that is right for you!

COMPARE ALL SERVICES
Action Alerts PLUS
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
  • Weekly roundups
TheStreet Quant Ratings
Try it NOW
Only $49.95/yr

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
  • Upgrade/downgrade alerts
Stocks Under $10
Try it NOW

David Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
  • Weekly roundups
Dividend Stock Advisor
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
  • Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Real Money Pro
Try it NOW

All of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.

Product Features:
  • Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
  • Intraday commentary & news
  • Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Options Profits
Try it NOW

Our options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.

Product Features:
  • 100+ monthly options trading ideas
  • Actionable options commentary & news
  • Real-time trading community
  • Options TV
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
Submit an article to us!
DOW 16,805.41 +127.51 0.76%
S&P 500 1,964.58 +13.76 0.71%
NASDAQ 4,483.7150 +30.9230 0.69%

Brokerage Partners

Rates from Bankrate.com

  • Mortgage
  • Credit Cards
  • Auto

Free Newsletters from TheStreet

My Subscriptions:

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

Register for Newsletters
Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs