Biotech Stock Mailbag: Oncothyreon, Amag, Keryx Hate Mail
@BioRunner59 asks, "Will you apologize when perifosine works?"
Yes, absolutely. I understand what's at stake. Part of the responsibility of my job is to hold myself accountable for the predictions and analysis I provide. If I get something wrong, I own it. No one is right 100% of the time. Getting stuff wrong is part of this game, but it's important to acknowledge errors and learn from them.
BioRunner tweeted his question to me because he thinks my prediction of failure for Keryx Biopharmaceuticals' (KERX) phase III study of perifosine in colon cancer is going to be one of those calls I get wrong. I disagree, but we'll see what happens when the results are released, hopefully next month. Right or wrong, you'll hear from me.
Now, for our hate-mail segment, also related to Keryx and perifosine partner, Aeterna Zentaris (AEZS). Bbrewski writes, "You are just Wall Street Scum and when Peri[fosine] hits I hope you are man enough to admit you cost a lot of investors major money and you should go to jail, just because you are a coward behind some big firm, we will get the last laugh, because we know what we own and you do not. So let it be written so let it be done you coward behind a key board!!!!!Mark this post I will !!!!!" Stephen W. writes, "Don't know to break this to you, but the only investing writer whose credibility is gone is looking back at you in the mirror. When you decide to stop shilling for Big Short, that will change. Not before, not unless, not until. Ta-ta!"
MontyM asks, "Discovery Labs (DSCO), what happened?" The good news: On the fifth attempt spanning eight years, Discovery was finally able to secure FDA approval for Surfaxin as a new treatment for respiratory distress syndrome in premature infants. The bad news: Discovery is almost broke and needs to raise money to start selling Surfaxin later this year. Investors knew about Discovery's weak financial position before Surfaxin was approved, setting up the stock for a quick but short-lived pop on approval. After that, a sell off was inevitable as investors/traders either a) took quick profits, or b) took quick profits and tried to find shares to short. Investors don't
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