Even if natural gas prices are near a historic low, the logistics of having to move energy to where the demand is have favor midstream energy infrastructure master limited partnerships, and this is one more long-term story about the importance of natural gas.
Deutsche Bank is continuing to support this story even though it's one of the better known investment theses in the energy sector and has resulted in some of the best returning stocks and biggest M&A takeouts in the past year, namely Kinder Morgan's (KMI) takeout of El Paso (EP).Deutsche Bank estimates that these midstream MLPs will generate total returns above 10% on an annualized basis for the next several years. MLPs also show an average yield of 6.3%, 6%- 8% distribution growth and 5%-10% growth in earnings and cash flows. Deutsche placed buy ratings on Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), Equity Transfer Partners (ETP), Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (CXPO) and Rose Rock Midstream (RRMS) and Western Gas Partners (WES). Deutsche projects that all of these midstream MLPs will generate in excess of 18% total returns. These stocks have three ways to grow: Organic, drop-downs and third party acquisitions. In conceding that MLPs are far from an undiscovered story at this point, Deutsche noted that the group showed a 13% total return in 2011 vs a 2% rise in the S&P 500 (including dividends). However, it sees the MLPs as one more "unique secular growth story" related to natural gas and the larger shale drilling boom in the U.S. "The need for infrastructure construction in North America to match rising natural gas, oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs) volumes is unprecedented. We estimate North American infrastructure spending of $20 billion per year through 2015 for pipelines, gathering and processing, terminals, and storage. The relative security and stability of fee based business and contracts support the ability of the industry to raise the equity and debt capital needed to build its growth," Deustche analysts wrote on Tuesday. >>To see these stocks in action, visit the Natural Gas Stock Trades That Look Past Low Prices portfolio on Stockpickr. -- Written by Eric Rosenbaum from New York.
Eric Rosenbaum. >To follow the writer on Twitter, go to Eric Rosenbaum. Follow TheStreet on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.
Select the service that is right for you!COMPARE ALL SERVICES
Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
- Upgrade/downgrade alerts
Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
All of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.
- Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Our options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV