Market Preview: Big Gain Hangover
The firm's not done there either, as it also wants to know how Coinstar's digital strategy is shaping up.
"From our vantage point, unless the company is willing to invest capital to procure content we are skeptical that any form of digital partnership, such as the rumored deal with Verizon (VZ), can create a meaningful return for CSTR shareholders," Dougherty said.
As for first-quarter expectations, Dougherty is modeling earnings of 64 cents a share on revenue of $514.5 million, much lower than the current consensus view for a profit of 86 cents a share on revenue of $514.5 million.
"The DVD release schedule for the March quarter looks to be down about 17% in box office receipts, with March looking like a particularly tough comp, which may limit Q1 guidance," the firm said. "Coinstar remains a cheap stock ... However, we are concerned by the continuing volatility at Redbox, which is likely to cause the company to miss estimates and/or guide below expectations every couple of quarters, as well as the inevitable slowing in demand for physical DVD."Check out TheStreet's quote page for Coinstar for year-to-date share performance, analyst ratings, earnings estimates and much more. Earnings season will of course continue to grind on come Monday with Earthlink Networks (ELNK), Hasbro (HAS), HCA (HCA), Humana (HUM), Lazard (LAZ), Libbey (LBY), Mercury General (MCY), Nielsen Holdings (NLSN), Sohu.com (SOHU), Sysco (SYY), and USG Corp. (USG) among the early reporters. The late roster includes Advent Software (ADVS), Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN), Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Bankrate (RATE), Becton, Dickinson & Co. (BDI), Cascade Bancorp (CACB), Coinstar (CACB), Dun & Bradstreet (DNB), Leggett & Platt (LEG), Lincare Holdings (LNCR), NCR Corp. (NCR), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), PMC-Sierra (PMCS), Regal-Beloit (RBC), Standard Pacific (SPF), Sunrise Senior Living (SRZ), UnumProvident (UNM), Veeco Instruments (VECO), Wabash National (WNC), and Yum! Brands (YUM). The economic calendar is light with just consumer credit for December due at 3 p.m. ET, so the euphoria from the jobs report will have to continue to carry the load on the data front. -- Written by Michael Baron in New York.
>To contact the writer of this article, click here: Michael Baron.
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