This listing includes some, not all, of the many municipal bond ETFs that have proliferated over the past few years as issuers have discovered a reasonable way to price related indexes. After all, since bonds are a "dealer market" vs a listed securities market where valuations are transparent, pricing bonds has always been in the eye of the various bidders. A reasonable summary of this difficulty was published by Dan Seymour of the Bond Buyer in January 2011:
"The muni market includes more than 60,000 issuers and at least 1.2 million CUSIP numbers. Munis are considered less liquid than Treasury or corporate bonds. Some muni bonds never trade, and most trade infrequently. Indexes designed to reflect values in the municipal bond market rely on pricing services, such as Interactive Data, to evaluate bonds that aren't trading.
Investors don't necessarily always believe these pricing services. It might be that a bond that would otherwise be trading at a lower price is quoted by a pricing service at a higher price simply because nobody is trading it, so there's no discovery of the lower price.
That explains why municipal yield-curve scales such as Municipal Market Data and Municipal Market Advisors can often disagree on where yield levels are -- they are often extrapolating based on general conditions, rather than visible trades." Due to some late 2010 panic among investors ETFs disconnected from their indexes as selling overwhelmed index structure creating large discounts to NAV for investors. This is why MUNI ETF returns were high during 2011 as the rebound occurred early in the year and no doubt exaggerated returns. And no yields are low but not necessarily lower than taxable yields for the same maturity. I remember complaining to my boss in 1976 when yields suddenly dropped to 5% briefly for high grade general obligation bonds. He calmly said: "They'll buy 'em when they're 3% because they hate taxes always." He was right. As a former bond dealer myself with a Municipal Principal Series 53 license, I can attest on these difficulties. You may think these problems are isolated and they can be but remember the difficulty encountered by muni-bond funds one year ago when most funds were not tracking the indexes well at all. This was occasioned by investor flight given worries over municipal budgetary and fiscal soundness issues. (These problems are well-outlined in the linked article above.) But these issues can be geographic in nature as well. In 1975 the U.S. northeast was plagued by the contagion from NY City's financial crisis. Suddenly Massachusetts, Pennsylvania and other municipalities in the region had to pay large premiums given their proximity to New York. California had its problems with tax reform later and Washington Public Power went bankrupt. In 1929 nearly 70% of all municipal bonds with investment grades went bankrupt so don't be too sanguine about conditions. The latest rage in muni-land which has always had the reputation as a gimmicky market is Build America Bonds (BABS). Investors should know these bonds are federally taxable but exempt from state and local taxes for investors from that jurisdiction. Institutions such as casualty insurance companies have been feasting on these issues and this is expected to continue. We rank the top 10 ETF by our proprietary stars system as outlined below. However, given that we're sorting these by both short and intermediate issues we have split the rankings as we move from one classification to another so rankings aren't necessarily in order.Strong established linked index
Excellent consistent performance and index tracking
Low fee structure
Strong portfolio suitability
Excellent liquidity
Established linked index even if "enhanced"
Good performance or more volatile if "enhanced" index
Average to higher fee structure
Good portfolio suitability or more active management if "enhanced" index
Decent liquidity
Enhanced or seasoned index
Less consistent performance and more volatile
Fees higher than average
Portfolio suitability would need more active trading
Average to below average liquidity
Index is new
Issue is new and needs seasoning
Fees are high
Portfolio suitability also needs seasoning
Liquidity below average We feature a technical view of conditions from monthly chart views. Simplistically, we recommend longer-term investors stay on the right side of the 12 month simple moving average. When prices are above the moving average, stay long, and when below remain in cash or short. Some more interested in a fundamental approach may not care so much about technical issues preferring instead to buy when prices are perceived as low and sell for other reasons when high; but, this is not our approach. Premium members to the ETF Digest receive added signals when markets become extended such as DeMark triggers to exit overbought/oversold conditions.
- California St GO Bds 6%: 0.74%
- California St Dept Wtr Res Pwr Wtr 5.75%: 0.52%
- North Tex Twy Auth 5.125%: 0.43%
- Puerto Rico Sales Tax Rev Bd 6%: 0.42%
- California St Go Bds 5%: 0.39%
- Salt River Proj Ariz Agric Imp Elec S 5%: 0.35%
- Greenville Cnty S C Sch Dist 5.5%: 0.35%
- California Statewide Cmntys De Rev Bd 5%: 0.35%
- Illinois St Toll Hwy Auth 5%: 0.35%
- New York N Y GO Bds 5.25%: 0.34%
#2: SPDR Short-term Muni ETF (SHM)- Virginia Comwlth Transn Brd Tr Trans 5%: 1.31%
- Montgomery Cnty Md Pub Impt 5%: 1.29%
- Arkansas St Fed Hwy G 4%: 1.28%
- South Carolina St GO St Hig 4%: 1.15%
- New York St GO Bds 3%: 1.09%
- Connecticut St GO Bds 5%: 1.07%
- Ohio St Major New St Infrastru Rev Bd 5%: 1.05%
- New Jersey St GO Ref Bd 5%: 0.99%
- Connecticut St GO Bds 5%: 0.99%
- New York St GO Bds 3%: 0.98%
#3: iShares S&P Short-Term National AMT-Free ETF (SUB)- California Statewide Cmntys De Rev Bd 5%: 1.43%
- California St Dept Wtr Res Pwr Wtr 5.5%: 1.23%
- Connecticut St GO Bds 5%: 0.85%
- Greenville Cnty S C Sch Dist 5.5%: 0.70%
- California St Dept Wtr Res Pwr Pwr Su 5%: 0.66%
- Los Angeles Calif Uni Sch Dist 5%: 0.64%
- New Jersey Econ Dev Auth 5%: 0.63%
- Metropolitan Transn Auth 5.5%: 0.59%
- Illinois St Toll Hwy Auth 5%: 0.57%
- New York St Urban Dev Corp Rev Svc C 5%: 0.54%
#4: PowerShares Insured Municipal Bond ETF (PZA)- Miami-Dade Cnty Fla Wtr & Swr Wtr Swr 5%: 4.06%
- North Tex Twy Auth 5.75%: 3.18%
- New Jersey St Transn Tr Fd Aut Tran 5.5%: 2.95%
- Philadelphia Pa Arpt Rev Airport R 5%: 2.84%
- Chicago Ill GO Bds 5%: 2.25%
- New Jersey Health Care Facs Fi Rev 5.5%: 1.97%
- Atlanta Ga Wtr & Waste Wtr Rev Rev 5.25%: 1.85%
- Medford Ore Hosp Facs Auth 5.5%: 1.69%
- Pennsylvania St Tpk Commn Tpk Tpk 6.25%: 1.67%
- Arizona St Lottery Rev St Lotter 5%: 1.51%
#5: SDPR Nuveen Barclays Municipal Bond ETF (TFI)- Triborough Brdg & Tunl Auth 5%: 1.43%
- Milwaukee Wis Go Prom N 5%: 1.40%
- California St Dept Wtr Res Pwr Pwr Su 5%: 1.27%
- Los Angeles Calif GO Ref Bd 5%: 1.22%
- Washington St GO Ref Bd 5%: 1.20%
- San Francisco Calif City & Cnt Ref Co 5%: 1.19%
- Columbus Ohio Various P 4%: 1.11%
- New Jersey St GO Bds 5%: 1.11%
- New York St Dorm Auth 5%: 1.01%
- Charlotte N C Wtr & Swr Sys Re Wtr An 5%: 0.95%
#6: PIMCO Intermediate Municipal Bond ETF (MUNI)- Connecticut St Health & Edl Fa Rev Bd 5%: 5.23%
- Pennsylvania St Higher Edl Fac Rev 5.25%: 3.06%
- New York St Dorm Auth 5%: 2.40%
- New Jersey Econ Dev Auth 5%: 2.37%
- New Jersey St Transn Tr Fd Aut Transp 5%: 2.35%
- Irvine Ranch Calif Wtr Dist: 2.23%
- Los Angeles Calif Dept Wtr & P Water Sys: 1.82%
- New York St Dorm Auth 5%: 1.76%
- Los Angeles Calif Uni Sch Dist 5%: 1.72%
- Northside Tex Indpt Sch Dist 1.35%: 1.53%
- Massachusetts St Dev Fin Agy R Rev 5.25%: 2.52%
- Kentucky Econ Dev Fin Auth 5.375%: 1.81%
- Washington St Health Care Facs Rev Bd 5%: 1.77%
- Hawaii St Dept Budget & Fin Sp Rev 6.5%: 1.76%
- California St Go Bds 5%: 1.71%
- Palm Beach Cnty Fla Pub Impt R Re 5.375%: 1.62%
- Colorado Health Facs Auth 5%: 1.61%
- California St Go Refund 4.5%: 1.60%
- Illinois Fin Auth 5.5%: 1.28%
- Virginia College Bldg Auth 5%: 1.27%
#8: PowerShares Build America Bonds ETF (BAB)- Chicago Ill O Hare Intl Arpt R Ge 6.395%: 2.50%
- California St Go Bds 6.509%: 2.04%
- Los Angeles Calif Uni Sch Dist 6.758%: 1.63%
- New York N Y Go Bds 5.968%: 1.49%
- Orlando Fla Cmnty Redev Agy Ta Ta 7.784%: 1.42%
- California St Go Bds 7.3%: 1.40%
- California St Pub Wks Brd Leas Le 8.361%: 1.38%
- Florida St Governmental Util A Ut 6.548%: 1.37%
- California St Go Bds 7.55%: 1.33%
- New York N Y City Transitional Fu 5.932%: 1.25%
#9: Van Eck High Yield Municipal Bond ETF (HYD)- Texas Private Activity Bd Surf Sr Lie 7%: 2.48%
- New Jersey Econ Dev Auth 6.625%: 2.31%
- Illinois Fin Auth 5.5%: 2.23%
- Illinois Fin Auth 6%: 1.46%
- Indiana Fin Auth 5.5%: 1.43%
- De Kalb Cnty Ga Hosp Auth 6.125%: 1.43%
- Montana St Brd Invt Res R Res 7%: 1.43%
- Red River Auth 6.7%: 1.36%
- Greater Orlando Aviation Auth 6.5%: 1.35%
- South Carolina Jobs-Economic D Hos 5.25%: 1.34%
Municipal bonds are under increasing pressure to avoid default threats articulated by some pundits as likely given weak tax receipts particularly with smaller municipalities and revenue bond structures. General obligation bonds require the issuer to raise taxes and/or cut spending to meet interest and principal payments as holders stand first in line ahead of salaries to bureaucrats and civil servants.
We do see some consistent overbought conditions which shouldn't be ignored completely. Nevertheless strong trends like this can overpower any sound technical strategies including long-term DeMark indicators.
As stated with other sectors, remember ETF sponsors must issue and their interests aren't aligned with yours. They have a business interest and wish to have a competitive presence in any popular sector.
As stated with other sectors, remember ETF sponsors must issue and their interests aren't aligned with yours. They have a business interest and wish to have a competitive presence in any popular sector.
For further information about portfolio structures using technical indicators like DeMark and other indicators, take a free 14-day trial at ETF Digest. Follow us on Twitter and Facebook as well and join our group conversations.
You may address feedback to: feedback@etfdigest.com
The ETF Digest has no positions in the featured ETFs.
(Source for data is from ETF sponsors and various ETF data providers.)
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