Currencies

GBP-USD: Recovery Fading

 

The following commentary comes from an independent investor or market observer as part of TheStreet's guest contributor program, which is separate from the company's news coverage.

NEW YORK (fxtechstrategy.com) -- The pound-dollar currency pair's recovery is now fading, suggesting it could return to the 1.5270 level, its October 2011 low.

If GBP-USD breaks that level, it will next aim at the 1.5235 level. A cut through there would extend the declines toward the pair's 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 1.5187 (1.4229-1.6736 rally).

Further down, GBP-USD's big psychological level of 1.5000 comes in as the next downside target.

Alternatively, the risk to this analysis will be a violation of the 1.5406 level. This would clear the way for a move toward the 1.5770/1.5779 levels. If the pound-dollar trades through this zone, it will trigger further strength toward the 1.5885 level, its Nov. 18 high.

On the whole, GBP's downside vulnerability remains intact despite its current attempt at recovering.

-- Written by Mohammed Isah.

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Mohammed Isah is a technical strategist and head of research at FXTechstrategy.com, a technical-research Web site. He has been trading and analyzing the foreign exchange market for the past seven years. He formerly traded stocks before crossing over to the forex market, where he worked for FXInstructor LLC as a technical analyst and head of research before joining FXTechstrategy.com. He has written extensively on the forex market and technical analysis and his articles have been featured in The Technical Analyst Magazine, The Forex Journal Magazine, The International Business Times and FXstreet.com. At FXTechstrategy.com, he writes daily, weekly and long-term technical commentaries on currencies and commodities, which are offered to its clients. He also produces The Professional Suite for his subscribers. He provides full coverage of the forex market with specific focus on G10 currencies as well as the commodities markets, with focus on five key commodities.

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