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Why Retail Investors Need to Be Their Own Analyst

"We believe American Eagle Outfitters will be a winner in the teen space, driving [revenue] with promotions that we believe were all planned," Tennant wrote.

Even the credit ratings agencies have been slow to act. After Sears Holdings (SHLD - Get Report) announced it was closing underperforming stores, the retailer was downgraded by Standard & Poor's two notches this week to CCC+ from B, or further into junk territory.

Sears has been under pressure for some time, but it took S&P this long -- and the announcement of store closures and profit warning -- to decide the flailing department store will "remain under pressure" in 2012.

-- Reported by Jeanine Poggi in New York.

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