This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here
Stocks Under $10 with 50-100% upside potential - 14 days FREE!

Robo Santa Squeezes Shorts: Dave's Daily

On Friday we roughly had 100 daily DeMark 9 setup counts (to close shorts) out of our database of over 580 ETFs and indexes. Monday the number grew to over 300. Technically, when DeMark indicators cluster it generally indicates a trend reversal which happened on this Turnaround Tuesday. No, there wasn't much in the news to account for the rally beyond some obvious spin. New Housing starts were strong but 25% of that was due to rental apartment construction. Reuters and others would have you believe this indicated a bottom for housing: "Housing starts and permits for future construction jumped to a 1-1/2 year high in November as demand for rental apartments rose, suggesting the housing market was starting to recover." People looking for rentals aren't looking to buy any of the excess inventories for sale making this quote misleading.

There was also a better bond auction in Spain. It was also noted Monday that the available funds for purchasing euro bonds was only ¿150 billion. This was too little and meant Spain and Italy had to kick-in cash to the ECB which then in turn would lend it back to them. Perhaps buyers Tuesday remain a mystery but don't count out our own Fed which has proven itself a willing participant in such schemes. In fact, according to this note from SocGen's Aneta Markowska: "Nuclear options -- Can the Fed buy European bonds? This was a question that came up in Friday's testimony by NY Fed's Dudley to a congressional panel. Dudley confirmed that the Fed has the legal authority to buy foreign sovereign debt if the collateral is considered good and with appropriate haircuts. Though he wouldn't rule anything out, Dudley noted that this has never been done and the bar is extraordinarily high. Theoretically speaking, this could actually be seen as a good option that solves a number of economic challenges: the US would see a weaker dollar, helping to rebalance its economy, while Europe would see its funding costs go down. Yet, we believe that the Fed would be facing tremendous political resistance in the US to such a decision. To date, the Fed's crisis fighting operations have not led to any losses; buying foreign assets would expose US taxpayers not just to credit risk but also to currency risk. The Fed would probably think long and hard before taking such a step, particularly during a politically charged election year." More of her comments continue HERE.

While most will give Santa his due for the rally, I'll give most credit to DeMark and the pressure from portfolio managers and HFTs to lift markets higher. Just remember it was only recently markets rose nearly 500 points and shortly thereafter all that, and then some were given back. There are plenty of hedge fund types with redemptions to meet and fees to earn to mark stocks up before the year ends. The rally will please many but remind others of the casino-like environment that highlight contemporary markets.

The Fed has returned to "too big to fail" plans to protect (bailout) those companies (read: Primary Dealers and other associates of the Fed) from failure. Or as this article from Bloomberg points out "The Federal Reserve sought to curb the risk of financial turmoil by strengthening the central bank's tools for preventing the collapse of large firms and demanding stricter oversight by companies' boards of directors.

"The proposal would create an integrated set of requirements that seeks to meaningfully reduce the probability of failure of systemically important companies and minimize damage to the financial system and the broader economy in the event such a company fails," the Fed said in the draft rules today. So once again Moral Hazard issues are set aside and the debt end game get postponed for another day.

Meanwhile Americans are growing poorer as exemplified by the following graph.

Stocks rallied sharply Tuesday; commodities (oil, gold, grains and etc) advanced while the dollar fell. Bond prices gave back some of their previous gains. Earnings from Red Hat Software (RHT) and General Mills (GIS) came in below expectations and both were sold with little fanfare.

Volume was light which is typical for holiday periods (Hanukkah today and Christmas this weekend) and for recent rallies. Let me repeat, heavy volume sell-offs, light volume melt-ups have been the hallmark of recent market movements  (HFT algos don't give a rip about holidays.) Breadth per the WSJ was  quite positive and perhaps scored a 90/10 day at least on the NYSE.

You can follow our pithy comments on twitter and become join banter with me on facebook.

Continue to U.S. Sector, Stocks & Bond ETFs

1 of 5

Select the service that is right for you!

COMPARE ALL SERVICES
Action Alerts PLUS
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
  • Weekly roundups
TheStreet Quant Ratings
Try it NOW
Only $49.95/yr

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
  • Upgrade/downgrade alerts
Stocks Under $10
Try it NOW

David Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
  • Weekly roundups
Dividend Stock Advisor
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
  • Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Real Money Pro
Try it NOW

All of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.

Product Features:
  • Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
  • Intraday commentary & news
  • Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Options Profits
Try it NOW

Our options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.

Product Features:
  • 100+ monthly options trading ideas
  • Actionable options commentary & news
  • Real-time trading community
  • Options TV
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
Submit an article to us!
DOW 16,960.57 -123.23 -0.72%
S&P 500 1,978.34 -9.64 -0.48%
NASDAQ 4,449.5640 -22.5440 -0.50%

Brokerage Partners

Rates from Bankrate.com

  • Mortgage
  • Credit Cards
  • Auto

Free Newsletters from TheStreet

My Subscriptions:

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

Register for Newsletters
Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs