This commentary originally appeared on
Real Money Pro
on Nov. 15 at 11:00 a.m. EST.
Owning (or selling) a security is not synonymous with respecting (or not respecting) management and its past corporate accomplishments.
If we distill owning equity to only one factor -- to me, is whether the forward-looking reward relative to risk in a company's share price is attractive.
Case in point:
(BRK.A - Get Report)/
(BRK.B - Get Report), which I sold yesterday.
I, as most other professionals, worship at the altar of Warren Buffett. I have written voluminously about Berkshire Hathaway -- sometimes
. I have studied Berkshire Hathaway over the years and have carefully read Whitney Tilson's comprehensive research and analysis on Berkshire. I even endorsed the back of Jeff Matthews'
Pilgrimage to Warren Buffett's Omaha
One can safely conclude that Buffett is the single greatest stock investor of all time, and his net worth reflects his past achievements. He also seems to be a genuinely great human being through his personal charitable efforts (his massive commitment to the
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
), and his arm-twisting of fellow billionaires in "
The Giving Pledge
" is an amazing accomplishment in its scope and likely ultimate impact.
But the shares no longer have the appeal that they once did for several reasons, and I have sold my long position in Berkshire Hathaway.
Size Creates Its Own Performance Anchor; Investments May Become More Pedestrian
Berkshire's past growth and successes are one of its greatest enemies to future growth. Ever-larger investments/acquisitions are required to produce an impact and provide differentiated returns for shareholders. At the time of Buffett's acquisition of Berkshire Hathaway in 1965, the company's market value was under $20 million; it stands today closer to $190 billion.
Yesterday's $10 billion investment in
(IBM - Get Report)
is, to this observer, a reflection that larger deals are needed to move the needle and that more ordinary and plain vanilla investments will be the feature of Berkshire's portfolio strategy in the future. Vice Chairman Charles Munger has previously talked about the inevitability of less-than-special investments for the past two years or so.
Moreover, size reduces the marginal benefit of preferential $5 billion PIPE deals (private investments in public entities) -- such as those previously effected by Berkshire Hathaway in
(GS - Get Report)
(GE - Get Report)
Bank of America
(BAC - Get Report)
. I would add that the share prices of Goldman Sachs and General Electric have massively underperformed the markets after Berkshire purchased their preferreds, meaning that it was the sweetener (i.e., the attached warrants) that gave Berkshire Hathaway the true value to Buffett's investments in those companies.